Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf30f60ed92efc6999c1d7b0e620cc1216ac923576fb61bf01628f9f639ac8f28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 32c | 1,337$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.64 | 311 | 19.6%61 W · 250 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…fe52backed No | 61c | 1,037$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.28 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf07a…060bbacked Yes | 70c | 923.2$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 70c | 768.18$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.77 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 30c | 572.22$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.08 | 12,477 | 46.8%5,840 W · 6,637 L | -43.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 59c | 533.06$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.85 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…8f7abacked Yes | 51c | 499.99$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.99 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 59c | 458.15$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.95 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 56c | 416.43$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.04 | 8,309 | 49.2%4,089 W · 4,220 L | +271.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 49c | 328.26$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.95 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 42c | 327.83$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.73 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…7b02backed Yes | 75c | 319.73$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 13c | 287.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 68c | 283.16$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.48 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 71c | 272.17$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 32c | 254.62$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.34 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 227$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 2,655 | 47.3%1,257 W · 1,398 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 44c | 220.43$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 663 | 21.7%144 W · 519 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 54c | 219.95$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.67 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…1a73backed Yes | 56c | 211.59$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.96 | 186 | 68.8%128 W · 58 L | +27.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 41c | 197.15$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.09 | 7,564 | 37.5%2,840 W · 4,724 L | +95.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bd…cecabacked Yes | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…889abacked Yes | 73c | 168.76$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 31c | 161.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 55c | 142.3$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 1,829 | 42.6%780 W · 1,049 L | +51.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 62c | 141.3$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 38c | 124.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 667 | 34.3%229 W · 438 L | +38.1wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 27c | 116.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 7,231 | 9.3%675 W · 6,556 L | -1,115.6wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 27c | 112.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 9,987 | 44.8%4,471 W · 5,516 L | +258.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…b890backed Yes | 69c | 112.33$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 41c | 106.47$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff9…a21abacked No | 58c | 101.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 76c | 99.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…9301backed Yes | 56c | 97.95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes | 63c | 97.13$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…c0dbbacked Yes | 51c | 95.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 191 | 60.7%116 W · 75 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 68c | 93.02$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4c…8bebbacked Yes | 42c | 86.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 107 | 80.4%86 W · 21 L | +21.9wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 30c | 86.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…2007backed Yes | 66c | 86.12$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…6651backed Yes | 35c | 85.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…b73fbacked Yes | 69c | 79.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 181 | 64.1%116 W · 65 L | +29.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5547…fb20backed Yes | 47c | 78.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed Yes | 25c | 76.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…9f20backed No | 24c | 76.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fa…a7dcbacked Yes | 42c | 75.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked No | 71c | 74.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 54c | 71.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 966 | 33.3%322 W · 644 L | +27.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 48c | 70.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 12,879 | 20.4%2,624 W · 10,255 L | -2,688.9wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 53c | 65.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked Yes | 47c | 60.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172e…997fbacked Yes | 48c | 59.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 76c | 57.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 465 | 47.3%220 W · 245 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 44c | 56.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 1,177 | 34.9%411 W · 766 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 41c | 52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 9,885 | 45.9%4,540 W · 5,345 L | -302.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…d079backed Yes | 58c | 51.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…79febacked Yes | 57c | 51.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba3…4e15backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 278 | 51.8%144 W · 134 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,028 | 31.3%949 W · 2,079 L | +40.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…8564backed Yes | 41c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed No | 32c | 49.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 55c | 49.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 625 | 39.7%248 W · 377 L | +28.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 57c | 47.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 1,489 | 24.6%366 W · 1,123 L | -34.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed No | 60c | 47.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…f405backed No | 61c | 47.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a8…7a97backed Yes | 40c | 47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +115%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58de…02c3backed Yes | 42c | 44.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 49c | 44.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 68c | 42.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed No | 32c | 41.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 1,566 | 16.3%255 W · 1,311 L | +22.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba5…8434backed Yes | 46c | 40.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 71c | 40.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f01…4c3abacked No | 50c | 39.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 161 | 59%95 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d9…03d2backed Yes | 75c | 39.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 40c | 38.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa336…43f1backed Yes | 50c | 38.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb8…207ebacked Yes | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Yes | 50c | 37.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 402 | 42.5%171 W · 231 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc80…f224backed Yes | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb934…57ebbacked Yes | 58c | 36.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 36c | 36.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…5e59backed Yes | 54c | 35.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 44c | 34.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 479 | 40.5%194 W · 285 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b2…cf28backed No | 73c | 33.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 75cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…fb31backed Yes | 59c | 33.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | +18.5wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e6…d3ddbacked Yes | 47c | 33.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859c…6eafbacked Yes | 59c | 32.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c66…f4d3backed No | 79c | 30.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 247 | 70%173 W · 74 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3b…b13bbacked Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…3059backed Yes | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd849…6d86backed No | 55c | 29.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…256ebacked Yes | 49c | 29.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 233 | 62.2%145 W · 88 L | +33.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb9…901ebacked No | 70c | 29.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ef…caabbacked Yes | 48c | 28.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf694…24e3backed Yes | 69c | 28.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…ac2fbacked Yes | 42c | 28.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…4a56backed Yes | 69c | 28.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…a1dfbacked Yes | 36c | 27.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…d88cbacked Yes | 72c | 26.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on April 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.