Tennis · resolved market
ITF Astana: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Shunsuke Mitsui
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf43809837d8d55f3344b7996a3436c226f2f220e099f77bfe054eea4993652ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Petr Bar Biryukovof Petr Bar Biryukov, Shunsuke Mitsui
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f93…eb20backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 30c | 9,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Petr Bar Biryukov | 66c | 6,012$3,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.1 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 43c | 2,250$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.5 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shunsuke Mitsui | 23c | 2,173$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.88 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…7e0bbacked Petr Bar Biryukov | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…bc1cbacked Petr Bar Biryukov | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 23c | 750$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Petr Bar Biryukov | 59c | 642.01$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.78 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Petr Bar Biryukov | 64c | 433$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.03 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 27c | 351.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,053 | 40.9%431 W · 622 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…cf7cbacked Petr Bar Biryukov | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Shunsuke Mitsui | 36c | 269.07$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.33 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Petr Bar Biryukov | 58c | 243$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Petr Bar Biryukov | 65c | 139.07$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 44c | 136.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Petr Bar Biryukov | 59c | 102.53$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 911 | 63.9%582 W · 329 L | +66.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Petr Bar Biryukov | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Shunsuke Mitsui | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Petr Bar Biryukov | 60c | 96.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shunsuke Mitsui | 42c | 95.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Petr Bar Biryukov | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 24c | 72.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Shunsuke Mitsui | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 533 | 56.7%302 W · 231 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Shunsuke Mitsui | 41c | 70.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Petr Bar Biryukov | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Petr Bar Biryukov | 79c | 63.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…9be9backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Petr Bar Biryukov | 52c | 57.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Petr Bar Biryukov | 58c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -8.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Shunsuke Mitsui | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Petr Bar Biryukov | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 49c | 49.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 254 | 48.8%124 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Petr Bar Biryukov | 76c | 48.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Shunsuke Mitsui | 48c | 47.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 331 | 55.6%184 W · 147 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Shunsuke Mitsui | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Shunsuke Mitsui | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Petr Bar Biryukov | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shunsuke Mitsui | 44c | 38.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Petr Bar Biryukov | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 213 | 17.4%37 W · 176 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Petr Bar Biryukov | 57c | 29.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 392 | 57.7%226 W · 166 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 44c | 25.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Petr Bar Biryukov | 67c | 21.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Shunsuke Mitsui | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e83…b22fbacked Petr Bar Biryukov | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…ee45backed Petr Bar Biryukov | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.