TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Segovia: Yanki Erel vs Sergey Fomin

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yanki Erelof Yanki Erel, Sergey Fomin
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,400
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,043

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,400 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3555…208ebacked Sergey Fomin0c55,490$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4919256.8%109 W · 83 L+0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yanki Erel40c2,792$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.458,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Yanki Erel22c2,753$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.086,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sergey Fomin76c2,648$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.68,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4041…60f0backed Sergey Fomin10c1,849$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.998530.6%26 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Yanki Erel49c1,240$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.642,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Sergey Fomin45c1,026$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.1442332.4%137 W · 286 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8840…f51abacked Sergey Fomin2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20620%0 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ada…dcb4backed Sergey Fomin11c787.37$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.974740.4%19 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ce8…4dd6backed Sergey Fomin54c719.04$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38957950.9%295 W · 284 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb000…5ca6backed Yanki Erel70c712.1$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.112150.4%61 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Sergey Fomin18c637$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7315536.8%57 W · 98 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Sergey Fomin33c614$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.31,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Sergey Fomin31c602.96$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.2685250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f95…bf8ebacked Sergey Fomin22c600$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.67939.2%31 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Sergey Fomin62c570.62$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.946,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yanki Erel45c546.75$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.2727836.3%101 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Sergey Fomin56c536.1$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.994,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Sergey Fomin53c459.28$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24420452.5%107 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x604e…2cb1backed Sergey Fomin11c393.68$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4910425%26 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yanki Erel53c346.04$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.9411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8f4…6794backed Sergey Fomin71c339.5$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.3836954.2%200 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yanki Erel70c336.7$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1008,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Sergey Fomin30c336.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007829.5%23 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Sergey Fomin66c285.37$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.21,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d23…9517backed Yanki Erel62c266.35$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.485261.5%32 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Sergey Fomin45c222.56$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.025,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Yanki Erel70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.52,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7049…85a5backed Sergey Fomin51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10214047.1%66 W · 74 L+13.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x30ce…d485backed Sergey Fomin51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1028343.4%36 W · 47 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Sergey Fomin34c192.65$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.472,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Yanki Erel28c184.68$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.1576355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Sergey Fomin29c179.66$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f19…474ebacked Sergey Fomin51c176.47$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9018038.3%69 W · 111 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+4.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Sergey Fomin33c175.43$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5944138.8%171 W · 270 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4087…048bbacked Sergey Fomin30c165$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.58751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Sergey Fomin29c162.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.42,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79e9…80b1backed Yanki Erel32c161.7$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.7933228.3%94 W · 238 L-12.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c97…5c66backed Sergey Fomin33c153.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5048355.1%266 W · 217 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Sergey Fomin62c152$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.621,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Yanki Erel51c138.65$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.625,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Sergey Fomin69c136.77$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.824,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…8c41backed Sergey Fomin34c132.29$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.551936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked Yanki Erel55c125.68$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6837460.4%226 W · 148 L+29.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yanki Erel17c120$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.648738.4%187 W · 300 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe89c…9c72backed Yanki Erel56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9243054.9%236 W · 194 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yanki Erel33c118$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.134,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Sergey Fomin38c116.78$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.841,02149.8%508 W · 513 L+42.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a96…b71dbacked Yanki Erel24c90.73$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.137041.4%29 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yanki Erel41c80$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.862,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yanki Erel52c76.55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.986,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yanki Erel24c74$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4662140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yanki Erel62c72.06$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0658750.4%296 W · 291 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f56…50edbacked Sergey Fomin20c71.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3227748.7%135 W · 142 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b39…1f68backed Sergey Fomin45c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6412746.5%59 W · 68 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+24.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa00c…4820backed Sergey Fomin18c68.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.335827.6%16 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b59…52f4backed Sergey Fomin75c65.25$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-47.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0373…3e8cbacked Sergey Fomin49c61.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030246.7%141 W · 161 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Sergey Fomin33c60.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2044952.8%237 W · 212 L+1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Yanki Erel28c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.252,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Sergey Fomin73c59.18$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.151457.2%294 W · 220 L+29.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d34…d7b5backed Yanki Erel51c53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7352552.4%275 W · 250 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Sergey Fomin59c50.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.661,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Sergey Fomin28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.439851%203 W · 195 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd9…90b2backed Sergey Fomin73c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.29532.6%31 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Yanki Erel32c34.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1260141.1%247 W · 354 L-11.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9a…d10fbacked Sergey Fomin51c31.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8514936.9%55 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+1.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Yanki Erel70c28.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4981457%464 W · 350 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03dd…49c8backed Yanki Erel36c28.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2646851.5%241 W · 227 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Sergey Fomin47c28.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.364,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yanki Erel40c28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.81,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yanki Erel53c25.59$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x476e…cfb9backed Yanki Erel68c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6135060.9%213 W · 137 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f50…1701backed Yanki Erel71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.789656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Sergey Fomin54c19.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.561,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdff6…0918backed Yanki Erel71c15.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7249857%284 W · 214 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4daa…9f01backed Yanki Erel69c15.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.927463.5%47 W · 27 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Sergey Fomin70c14.29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1028264.2%181 W · 101 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.