TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,712
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,010

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,712 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over57c1,599$917 inLost-$916.9498945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under60c1,234$737 inWon+$497.51,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under28c1,100$312 inWon+$788.331931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over60c1,013$608 inLost-$607.9999340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under73c381.49$277 inWon+$104.948344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over36c254.41$91 inLost-$90.6322841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under19c233$45 inWon+$187.6420133.3%67 W · 134 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under19c206.9$40 inWon+$166.7952923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Under51c192.43$98 inWon+$94.733444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over28c133.7$37 inLost-$36.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-57.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over32c133.63$43 inLost-$42.719253.3%49 W · 43 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over68c98.32$67 inLost-$66.8613844.9%62 W · 76 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Under62c80.65$50 inWon+$30.655658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under77c75.6$58 inWon+$17.2844350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over28c71.26$20 inLost-$19.9419641.3%81 W · 115 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under56c68$38 inWon+$30.0580249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under68c64.89$44 inWon+$20.7713464.9%87 W · 47 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa5fd…6f17backed Over48c59.98$29 inLost-$28.791250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57d1…dc9fbacked Over35c57.14$20 inLost-$201020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over29c54.72$16 inLost-$15.8725652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over50c44$22 inLost-$223622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-47.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0536…c50bbacked Under50c40.1$20 inWon+$20.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over75c35.4$27 inLost-$26.591,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under66c31$20 inWon+$10.5682044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae3b…e06ebacked Under45c26.4$12 inWon+$14.521361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under66c22.35$15 inWon+$7.546156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.