TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,841
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,998

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,841 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed No46c1,184$545 inWon+$638.691,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No42c1,171$494 inWon+$677.473,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes58c975.12$566 inLost-$565.5714062.1%87 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes58c453.99$262 inLost-$261.781,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes47c370.59$175 inLost-$174.536247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes53c370$195 inLost-$194.852639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes55c238$130 inLost-$129.791,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes58c164.19$95 inLost-$95.2373438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes57c127.59$73 inLost-$72.839944.4%44 W · 55 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes50c124.63$62 inLost-$62.3344350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes58c120$70 inLost-$69.64746.8%22 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed No42c117$49 inWon+$68.2220133.3%67 W · 134 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Yes59c100$59 inLost-$593336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No41c75$31 inWon+$44.2519641.3%81 W · 115 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes21c58.31$12 inLost-$12.2582044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes58c51.87$30 inLost-$30.0939435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed No59c43.75$26 inWon+$17.9423350.6%118 W · 115 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x129b…190abacked Yes52c38.46$20 inLost-$201631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed No58c38.01$22 inWon+$15.969253.3%49 W · 43 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No55c36.36$20 inWon+$16.3687154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes55c32$18 inLost-$17.7219852.5%104 W · 94 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5f5…fa5cbacked Yes52c26.46$14 inLost-$13.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes57c25.87$15 inLost-$14.7568150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes58c19.81$11 inLost-$11.496246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.