Mls · resolved market
Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x483716a80c3c133793cb1da9cd6f84cd486c83859e7ddd379c27800fa13b970b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 43c | 4,650$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.48 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 4,500$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.03 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 29c | 1,959$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.48 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 66c | 1,700$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.69 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 57c | 1,253$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.24 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 57c | 1,028$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.95 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 42c | 939$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.62 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 42c | 936.61$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.24 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 58c | 868$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.44 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 3c | 816.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 58c | 794.9$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.04 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 42c | 587.74$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.85 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 41c | 219$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.21 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 43c | 206$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.34 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x656a…6077backed Over | 57c | 201.17$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 58c | 175.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.79 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Under | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 42c | 130$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 41c | 116.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 47c | 114$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 42c | 104.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 43c | 92.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 44c | 88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 59c | 86.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 59c | 86.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 57c | 66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…37e0backed Over | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 58c | 58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 56c | 50.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 39c | 50.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Over | 59c | 43.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 57c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 56c | 41.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 59c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 58c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 59c | 32.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 59c | 31.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 58c | 28.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Under | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5this page
- Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Houston Dynamo 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Houston Dynamo O/U 0.5Over won
- Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 0.5Under won
- Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 2.5Under won
- Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 0.5Over won
- Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 1.5Under won
- Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5Under won
- Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 4.5Under won
- Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Dynamo (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: Houston Dynamo (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)Houston Dynamo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.