TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Heilbronn: Max Houkes vs Emilio Nava

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Emilio Navaof Max Houkes, Emilio Nava
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,639
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,639 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Emilio Nava80c6,260$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.7550458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Max Houkes21c5,489$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.268,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa99f…164bbacked Max Houkes26c2,344$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.8427528.4%78 W · 197 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Emilio Nava77c1,691$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.2253655.4%297 W · 239 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Max Houkes26c1,691$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.5771725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Max Houkes18c1,474$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.726,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Max Houkes15c1,129$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.354,58448.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L+35.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Emilio Nava78c1,128$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.943,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Emilio Nava79c1,101$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.254,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Max Houkes19c1,062$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.041216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-67.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Max Houkes21c915.59$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.273,18748.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L-46.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Max Houkes13c857.73$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.242,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Max Houkes12c779.16$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.542125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Max Houkes23c769.17$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.9156827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Max Houkes22c681.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15057321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Emilio Nava73c675.27$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.0978540.6%319 W · 466 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Emilio Nava77c667.79$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.5915248%73 W · 79 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Max Houkes23c652.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15043353.6%232 W · 201 L+32.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Emilio Nava77c604.99$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.158745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Emilio Nava77c599.99$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13836361.7%224 W · 139 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf35a…ce87backed Max Houkes18c590$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1064818.8%9 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Emilio Nava68c570.48$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.672,75453.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L+71.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Max Houkes7c568.33$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-71.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Max Houkes15c555.75$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.91,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Max Houkes30c539.48$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.96,41154.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L+283.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Max Houkes23c519.92$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4957842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d9c…cf78backed Max Houkes20c478.24$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9411131.5%35 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1aa…9359backed Max Houkes17c413.47$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2920535.1%72 W · 133 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Max Houkes39c402.54$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9985348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Max Houkes39c402.54$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9965952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21b5…1db6backed Max Houkes20c382.6$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4828562.8%179 W · 106 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Max Houkes16c382.14$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.794,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Max Houkes20c313$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.67,71047.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Emilio Nava77c256.41$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.971,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c5…720fbacked Emilio Nava78c253.85$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.854261.9%26 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Max Houkes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505,19928.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L-18.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c6e…542dbacked Emilio Nava64c217.2$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1919756.3%111 W · 86 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Max Houkes29c212.45$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.333,62145.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L-3.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22c7…d814backed Emilio Nava77c201.3$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.340554.1%219 W · 186 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Max Houkes20c199.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8341958.7%246 W · 173 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d07…b9febacked Max Houkes7c188.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.113208.8%28 W · 292 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Emilio Nava78c183.97$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.968,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b89…5e10backed Max Houkes31c178.87$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.11650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+81.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Emilio Nava77c173.48$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.941955.8%234 W · 185 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Emilio Nava75c165.5$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5265246.3%302 W · 350 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1435backed Emilio Nava73c160.4$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.139035.9%140 W · 250 L-61.1wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Emilio Nava73c147.96$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5211,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Max Houkes29c146.63$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.264,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Max Houkes9c140.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2866834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9360…67f0backed Emilio Nava79c124.42$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1311249.1%55 W · 57 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Max Houkes22c122.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.662,07944.4%923 W · 1,156 L-52.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Max Houkes23c122.07$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.482,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Max Houkes21c111$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.281,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Max Houkes29c101.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303,41239.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L-11.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Emilio Nava78c98$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.561,92055.4%1,064 W · 856 L-44.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Emilio Nava77c95$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.854,88238.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L-17.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Max Houkes31c92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5192138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Emilio Nava65c91.15$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321,21955%670 W · 549 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x097c…630abacked Max Houkes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521052.4%110 W · 100 L-12.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Max Houkes16c86.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.851,83057.7%1,056 W · 774 L+105.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Max Houkes24c85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.42,44235.8%874 W · 1,568 L-29.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Emilio Nava78c66.66$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6978350.3%394 W · 389 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96f4…32e8backed Max Houkes25c65.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7c7…3b08backed Emilio Nava77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9450958%295 W · 214 L-26.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Max Houkes23c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.81,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Emilio Nava76c55$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.315,37748.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L+16.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Max Houkes27c54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5873748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Max Houkes28c51.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.421,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ec…23bdbacked Emilio Nava78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1116769.5%116 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf01f…e8fbbacked Max Houkes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1226426.9%71 W · 193 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Max Houkes23c49.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51,23544.9%554 W · 681 L-5.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Emilio Nava79c47.93$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.983,63154.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L+110.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Max Houkes34c47.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162,14237.3%799 W · 1,343 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Max Houkes28c47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.291,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fcc…5c8fbacked Max Houkes22c45.77$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.07944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Emilio Nava79c44.13$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1336064.4%232 W · 128 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Emilio Nava77c43.48$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106,99839.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L-16.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3e0…88a5backed Max Houkes28c41.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.74531.1%14 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d75…26fbbacked Emilio Nava78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4616358.9%96 W · 67 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf676…9a00backed Emilio Nava78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4620158.7%118 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Emilio Nava78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4688560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c74…205cbacked Emilio Nava79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.971361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick70cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Emilio Nava65c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2544949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Emilio Nava72c30.21$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.432,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Emilio Nava77c25.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.763,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Emilio Nava65c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1470456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf39…3394backed Emilio Nava76c22.01$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2833462.6%209 W · 125 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbafb…3031backed Emilio Nava80c15.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.0333673.2%246 W · 90 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick78cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcadd…c7e6backed Emilio Nava75c14.68$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.664626.1%12 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Emilio Nava80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51,00250.2%503 W · 499 L+45.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.