MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7f1f09848d3e6359c8456bce84dda772b202818dee7468f7e53de3a7451f140
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $305,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $306,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 53c | 163,906$86,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,696.56 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 47c | 136,096$63,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,130.69 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 53c | 95,000$50,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,349.99 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 47c | 44,459$20,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,556.91 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 47c | 18,820$8,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,974.6 | 224 | 47.3%106 W · 118 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 48c | 18,037$8,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,379.24 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Under | 47c | 14,770$6,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,828.1 | 277 | 53.1%147 W · 130 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e53…53aebacked Over | 54c | 11,111$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5461…92bebacked Over | 50c | 10,256$5,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,128.21 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 9,726$4,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,984.19 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 46c | 9,578$4,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,125.69 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 9,443$4,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,970.14 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 50c | 3,127$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.51 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 47c | 2,317$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.85 | 336 | 49.1%165 W · 171 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 454 | 51.3%233 W · 221 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…4ef3backed Over | 51c | 1,955$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.81 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 1,794$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.16 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 1,551$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.57 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 49c | 1,212$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.62 | 325 | 52.9%172 W · 153 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf1…0db6backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 49c | 871.19$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.73 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 52c | 787.4$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.45 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc279…6465backed Under | 50c | 762.66$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.33 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 655.65$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.29 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 29c | 575.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.64 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 50c | 566.6$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.64 | 575 | 51.7%297 W · 278 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 522.24$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.82 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 48c | 425.52$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.27 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Over | 52c | 395.98$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.36 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 32c | 369.23$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.17 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 49c | 363$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.47 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 47c | 345.13$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.92 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Under | 48c | 312.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.75 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Under | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 284 | 52.5%149 W · 135 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 51c | 262.05$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 50c | 256$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 252.04$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.58 | 495 | 40.2%199 W · 296 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 47c | 239$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 238.35$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.56 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 47c | 208.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.71 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…dc4dbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Under | 47c | 205.44$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.88 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Under | 47c | 205.43$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.88 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…3487backed Under | 52c | 194.77$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.49 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 46.3%75 W · 87 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 189.35$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.46 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 48c | 185.77$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 453 | 58.7%266 W · 187 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 32c | 150.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 595 | 34.5%205 W · 390 L | -22.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 52c | 150.35$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.17 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 48c | 144.3$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.04 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Under | 47c | 135$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 754 | 53.2%401 W · 353 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 47c | 125.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.9 | 671 | 52.5%352 W · 319 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 59c | 108.27$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 1,176 | 43.8%515 W · 661 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6016…1ab5backed Over | 51c | 97.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 47c | 92.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 527 | 52.2%275 W · 252 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 37c | 84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 800 | 52%416 W · 384 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 50c | 80.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 1,828 | 54.1%989 W · 839 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Under | 68c | 78.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 356 | 58.1%207 W · 149 L | +26.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 48c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 180 | 45.6%82 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Under | 52c | 58.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 75c | 57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 906 | 69.9%633 W · 273 L | +94.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33c4…85c2backed Under | 48c | 54.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +12.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Under | 47c | 41.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Under | 72c | 41.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 54c | 39.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 54c | 39.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 54c | 39.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…1012backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 66c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x241c…8be3backed Under | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 49c | 32.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…ad67backed Under | 52c | 32.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1b…aa71backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 474 | 47.3%224 W · 250 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Under | 49c | 24.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 390 | 49%191 W · 199 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 48c | 21.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 21.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2481…878dbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d05…ce70backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…6d36backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Under | 63c | 19.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 69c | 18.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.