Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kansas State Wildcats vs. Colorado Buffaloes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf81170931e553f9a96c4f629652b91cea8800fa082347fad4a3644206380091e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Buffaloesof Kansas State Wildcats, Colorado Buffaloes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 28c | 4,134$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.53 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 27c | 3,964$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.73 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 72c | 3,777$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 73c | 3,299$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.61 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 75c | 2,467$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.42 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Kansas State Wildcats | 3c | 2,463$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.68 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Kansas State Wildcats | 8c | 1,602$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 29c | 1,340$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.8 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Colorado Buffaloes | 73c | 1,278$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.01 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kansas State Wildcats | 13c | 1,225$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.89 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 12c | 1,205$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.39 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kansas State Wildcats | 13c | 1,123$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.57 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 9c | 1,099$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Kansas State Wildcats | 11c | 806.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Kansas State Wildcats | 29c | 686.3$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.56 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Colorado Buffaloes | 73c | 605.99$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.65 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 73c | 588.2$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.82 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Colorado Buffaloes | 71c | 583.87$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.69 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kansas State Wildcats | 27c | 499.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Kansas State Wildcats | 10c | 498.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 11c | 440.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 27c | 404.95$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.47 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas State Wildcats | 18c | 398.23$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…eec3backed Kansas State Wildcats | 27c | 372.41$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba6a…1985backed Kansas State Wildcats | 27c | 367.45$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.23per pick | 29cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Colorado Buffaloes | 74c | 316.67$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kansas State Wildcats | 8c | 303.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Kansas State Wildcats | 14c | 298.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked Kansas State Wildcats | 4c | 282$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Kansas State Wildcats | 25c | 237.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Kansas State Wildcats | 29c | 221.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 73c | 217.67$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 28c | 199.86$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb127…b8a2backed Colorado Buffaloes | 76c | 130.74$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe86d…c9eebacked Colorado Buffaloes | 72c | 127.36$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Colorado Buffaloes | 73c | 109.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Kansas State Wildcats | 29c | 105.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Kansas State Wildcats | 30c | 99.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Kansas State Wildcats | 19c | 98.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kansas State Wildcats | 27c | 95.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed Kansas State Wildcats | 30c | 95.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 28c | 88.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…48dfbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 30c | 86.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Colorado Buffaloes | 71c | 84.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 30c | 81.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 70c | 81.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcffd…7f24backed Colorado Buffaloes | 73c | 78.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kansas State Wildcats | 22c | 74.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 70c | 72.32$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Colorado Buffaloes | 72c | 59.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Kansas State Wildcats | 28c | 58.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Colorado Buffaloes | 74c | 48.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Kansas State Wildcats | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…b4a6backed Colorado Buffaloes | 73c | 34.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Colorado Buffaloes | 78c | 31.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Colorado Buffaloes | 71c | 20.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…2e74backed Colorado Buffaloes | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a2…9721backed Colorado Buffaloes | 73c | 16.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas State Wildcats vs. Colorado Buffaloesthis page
- Spread: Colorado Buffaloes (-6.5)Colorado Buffaloes won
- Spread: Colorado Buffaloes (-7.5)Colorado Buffaloes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.