Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Partizan Beograd win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9d38d4ef73a6f909f5e9a12129d1f239d4b822f5af0e519a77dc41ed1228604
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 4c | 15,122$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.64 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 14c | 3,666$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.81 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Yes | 70c | 3,461$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.27 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 3c | 3,311$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.93 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 1,856$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.09 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 25c | 1,811$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.6 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 28c | 1,322$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.26 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 13c | 1,209$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.25 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 73c | 1,171$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.12 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 30c | 916$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.8 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 28c | 885.01$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.08 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 18c | 697.53$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.37 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 23c | 641.26$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.51 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 75c | 624.93$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.23 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 30c | 540$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.98 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 30c | 431.72$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.69 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 74c | 346.02$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.97 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 51c | 322.9$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.73 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 20c | 307.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 73c | 291$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 69c | 234.23$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.46 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Yes | 54c | 230.64$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.65 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 13c | 181.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 14c | 167.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 27c | 160.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 49c | 127.55$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +9.4wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked No | 11c | 111.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 20c | 101.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 35c | 98.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b10…2920backed Yes | 67c | 98.58$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked No | 41c | 97.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 70c | 91.14$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 27c | 73.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 75c | 69.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 30c | 55.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 20c | 53.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 48c | 52.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 74c | 48.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf47…12e6backed Yes | 58c | 46.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 75c | 40.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Yes | 71c | 36.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Yes | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x230d…192abacked Yes | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked Yes | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc1…0f58backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 64cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 72c | 24.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…3d2dbacked Yes | 74c | 20.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yes | 60c | 20.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Partizan Beograd win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will FK Partizan Beograd vs. Tobyl FK end in a draw?No won
- Will Tobyl FK win on 2026-08-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.