Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa1266be35db5f6df88df603d5d3d814b671607bce2f054ee86a4426fdd34ea6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5e7…0d71backed No | 70c | 424.06$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 399.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed Yes | 25c | 353.72$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 32c | 293.8$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x025c…5b44backed Yes | 29c | 291.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…97abbacked Yes | 34c | 209.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 177.44$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 27c | 171.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 78c | 169.04$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 25c | 163.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…dec2backed No | 74c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…20e0backed No | 72c | 159.6$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed No | 72c | 148.7$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x690b…9145backed Yes | 26c | 148.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 24c | 140.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…7f20backed Yes | 23c | 139.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe0…919ebacked No | 70c | 138.61$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…5443backed Yes | 39c | 127.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 25c | 120.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 67c | 118.29$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.31 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…23a6backed Yes | 26c | 110.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…7c31backed No | 68c | 108.2$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 32c | 105.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…2fadbacked No | 75c | 99.48$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 120 | 68.3%82 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 56c | 97.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 27c | 90.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 21c | 84.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad3…bbccbacked No | 46c | 75.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5589…c292backed Yes | 27c | 70.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 35c | 67.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ad…8d47backed Yes | 52c | 64.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 68c | 63.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe211…c34fbacked Yes | 30c | 60.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x766e…75f6backed Yes | 25c | 60.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 165 | 18.2%30 W · 135 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 25c | 57.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 36c | 56.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf576…a786backed No | 80c | 54.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 376 | 69.4%261 W · 115 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…1627backed Yes | 52c | 54.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…6df4backed Yes | 56c | 54.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f3…92d6backed Yes | 28c | 52.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed No | 75c | 50.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc9…dce0backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…186dbacked No | 74c | 48.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes | 45c | 47.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 52c | 46.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…5eb7backed Yes | 31c | 44.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…24aabacked Yes | 24c | 43.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6f…8cfcbacked Yes | 28c | 42.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 197 | 34%67 W · 130 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 29c | 42.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10a4…d3d1backed Yes | 52c | 42.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 73c | 41.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…9f22backed Yes | 29c | 41.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 27c | 41.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…619abacked No | 79c | 41.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 274 | 64.6%177 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 30c | 41.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 25c | 40.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 73c | 39.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda7b…3c9fbacked No | 79c | 37.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 125 | 67.2%84 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d6…64fbbacked No | 74c | 36.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 210 | 68.6%144 W · 66 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked No | 67c | 36.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed No | 79c | 35.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 77c | 33.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…7efcbacked No | 75c | 33.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82c…c866backed No | 58c | 32.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…3767backed Yes | 33c | 31.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd9…ad53backed No | 73c | 27.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…4e32backed No | 79c | 24.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298e…107ebacked No | 78c | 21.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 261 | 69.3%181 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 48c | 21.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…d427backed No | 72c | 21.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 326 | 69%225 W · 101 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…8ea6backed No | 71c | 20.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 188 | 78.2%147 W · 41 L | +19.4wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 51c | 20.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcce…65afbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 277 | 71.5%198 W · 79 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 71c | 19.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb2…14d6backed No | 68c | 18.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a345backed Yes | 64c | 16.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 76c | 16.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 62c | 16.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…e1b2backed No | 77c | 15.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…c61bbacked No | 74c | 15.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 2?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.