CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcfa0c60a3079445db6aff0c331f2f3929664292bda26f7c1f59215e5ece014f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MARKandLARRYof MARKandLARRY, Abyssal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked MARKandLARRY | 19c | 3,600$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,918.5 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed MARKandLARRY | 19c | 1,113$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.91 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…0105backed MARKandLARRY | 18c | 974.15$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.27 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Abyssal | 25c | 743$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.14 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed MARKandLARRY | 16c | 682$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.25 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed MARKandLARRY | 16c | 600.22$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.83 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed MARKandLARRY | 16c | 574.09$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.23 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed MARKandLARRY | 16c | 558.54$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.4 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked MARKandLARRY | 19c | 525$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked MARKandLARRY | 16c | 519.3$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.03 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed MARKandLARRY | 16c | 391.83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.12 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked MARKandLARRY | 66c | 365.23$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.48 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Abyssal | 80c | 360$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked MARKandLARRY | 16c | 357.6$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.38 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked MARKandLARRY | 18c | 342.97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.07 | 171 | 42.1%72 W · 99 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…cf6bbacked MARKandLARRY | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 143 | 31.5%45 W · 98 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked MARKandLARRY | 26c | 299.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.26 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x803f…b6b3backed MARKandLARRY | 32c | 295.83$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.75 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked MARKandLARRY | 18c | 283.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.52 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked MARKandLARRY | 40c | 267.78$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.1 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Abyssal | 16c | 228.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed MARKandLARRY | 76c | 226.96$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked MARKandLARRY | 14c | 210$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.5 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed MARKandLARRY | 14c | 204.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.71 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked MARKandLARRY | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked MARKandLARRY | 17c | 188.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.24 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked MARKandLARRY | 57c | 174.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.56 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MARKandLARRY | 72c | 171.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MARKandLARRY | 50c | 170.29$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.85 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed MARKandLARRY | 17c | 150.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.99 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…0a26backed Abyssal | 47c | 149$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Abyssal | 76c | 144.62$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.91 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked MARKandLARRY | 15c | 139.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.97 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed MARKandLARRY | 18c | 136.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.12 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked MARKandLARRY | 14c | 135.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.38 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked MARKandLARRY | 16c | 117.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.95 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…1afdbacked MARKandLARRY | 69c | 104.46$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Abyssal | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked MARKandLARRY | 41c | 88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0153…bad3backed Abyssal | 70c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed Abyssal | 76c | 78.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…95dcbacked Abyssal | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Abyssal | 17c | 63.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…102abacked MARKandLARRY | 16c | 62.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Abyssal | 73c | 57.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MARKandLARRY | 19c | 53.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Abyssal | 79c | 50.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed MARKandLARRY | 54c | 45.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Abyssal | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…577ebacked Abyssal | 29c | 40.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Abyssal | 76c | 34.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Abyssal | 35c | 30.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed Abyssal | 78c | 28.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eac…3cf9backed MARKandLARRY | 51c | 28.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Abyssal | 75c | 27.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Abyssal | 76c | 20.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed Abyssal | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 200 | 67%134 W · 66 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Abyssal | 54c | 19.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal - Map 1 WinnerAbyssal won
- Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal - Map 2 WinnerMARKandLARRY won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.