MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd019860212fef75b10b5435d0ab91257e5ec67eab298bc75842055299e08277
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 2,494$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.21 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 2,111$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.86 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Detroit Tigers | 36c | 1,603$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.78 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Detroit Tigers | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.05 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 1,193$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.52 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 898.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.08 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 813.24$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.48 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 631$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.17 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 614.68$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.25 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Detroit Tigers | 38c | 450$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 417.25$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.98 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Detroit Tigers | 35c | 356.5$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.31 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 278.84$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.67 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 278.32$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.81 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Detroit Tigers | 29c | 274.09$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.51 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Detroit Tigers | 34c | 273.72$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.39 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 182.22$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 179$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.56 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 111$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…0dbbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 106.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 102.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed Detroit Tigers | 23c | 86.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 105 | 15.2%16 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 84.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 83.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Detroit Tigers | 28c | 81.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Detroit Tigers | 36c | 68.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 61.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 61.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Detroit Tigers | 37c | 61.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 61.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 61.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Detroit Tigers | 37c | 57.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 56.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 55.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Detroit Tigers | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 44.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Detroit Tigers | 32c | 41.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Philadelphia Phillies | 77c | 36.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5a…aa7abacked Detroit Tigers | 40c | 35.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 33.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 33.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Detroit Tigers | 37c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Detroit Tigers | 34c | 31.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Detroit Tigers | 33c | 30.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 28.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 26.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 24.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 19.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.