MLB · resolved market

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92a9c4f9eb85bfa8011d30a7308ac67bf08de0b2206b3e886474f67970aa3b9e

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $91,762
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $92,402

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,762 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under	46c	55,021$25,266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,265.93	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over	54c	17,190$9,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,907.14	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over	56c	10,000$5,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,400	489	52.8%258 W · 231 L	+16.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	54c	9,342$5,044 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,297.78	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over	54c	5,000$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,300	362	46.1%167 W · 195 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over	54c	4,338$2,342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,996.48	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under	64c	3,906$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	92	50%46 W · 46 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	54c	3,498$1,889 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,608.87	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe459…737dbacked Under	48c	3,000$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,439.98	107	47.7%51 W · 56 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over	54c	2,896$1,563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,332.49	840	49.4%415 W · 425 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	56c	2,120$1,179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$941.32	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	54c	1,943$1,053 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$889.15	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under	46c	1,851$843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$843.18	84	31%26 W · 58 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	44c	1,676$734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$942.22	2,012	51.2%1,031 W · 981 L	+43.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecc…7850backed Under	50c	1,650$825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$825	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	50c	1,638$822 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$815.77	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	36c	1,564$563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000.89	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under	45c	1,503$676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676.35	556	53.4%297 W · 259 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	54c	1,260$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$579.6	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	54c	1,252$681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$571.83	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under	42c	1,151$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.8	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	54c	868.18$471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.82	297	52.5%156 W · 141 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	45c	827.97$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.48	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	52c	600.02$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.01	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	55c	589.74$322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.94	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	42c	576.19$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under	38c	539.48$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.98	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…184cbacked Under	48c	505$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.35	284	53.9%153 W · 131 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba62…3e29backed Over	55c	457.91$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.91	221	49.3%109 W · 112 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f9…c9a7backed Over	55c	441.85$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.83	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over	54c	390$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.4	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under	44c	340.9$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	133	45.9%61 W · 72 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under	45c	222.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	267	47.9%128 W · 139 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under	45c	222.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	586	49.5%290 W · 296 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Over	49c	212$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.12	344	43.9%151 W · 193 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Under	44c	200$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	96	55.2%53 W · 43 L	+6.3wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under	62c	165.28$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.86	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	+25.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00c4…e285backed Under	56c	157.59$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	65	64.6%42 W · 23 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	44c	152.75$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.21	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	56c	141.14$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.91	3,457	51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L	+108.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Under	44c	134.84$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	111	48.6%54 W · 57 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed Over	52c	134.62$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.62	674	49.4%333 W · 341 L	-28.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd5a…aa7abacked Over	64c	126.33$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.89	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	55c	120$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	2,376	49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over	52c	119.33$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.28	4,169	50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over	61c	118$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.02	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8499…950dbacked Under	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	99	45.5%45 W · 54 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa214…0653backed Under	45c	100.33$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.15	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	1,279	51.2%655 W · 624 L	-19.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	457	48.6%222 W · 235 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	515	45.2%233 W · 282 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under	45c	98.99$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.54	1,777	49.5%880 W · 897 L	+25.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Over	41c	97.56$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.56	161	44.1%71 W · 90 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	45c	90.94$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.2	2,945	47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec11…953fbacked Under	55c	90.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	-5.0wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over	57c	86.1$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.2	2,144	39.6%849 W · 1,295 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Over	41c	85.37$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.37	276	46.7%129 W · 147 L	+10.8wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Under	47c	85.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	732	43.4%318 W · 414 L	-14.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33d2…9ac2backed Over	50c	75$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.5	54	40.7%22 W · 32 L	-4.7wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over	54c	71$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.48	450	45.8%206 W · 244 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under	47c	70.23$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.01	3,832	42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc169…cb6abacked Over	46c	65.22$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.22	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…826ebacked Under	46c	64.52$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	50	54%27 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f5…97b2backed Under	47c	63.51$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.85	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over	53c	63$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.61	770	50.5%389 W · 381 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Under	47c	53.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	476	46.2%220 W · 256 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under	37c	49.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	91	41.8%38 W · 53 L	-6.8wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb556…b5e5backed Under	43c	47$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.21	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa4f…b174backed Over	60c	43.19$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.26	407	53.3%217 W · 190 L	+9.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	43c	42.04$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.96	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Under	48c	41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.68	75	56%42 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over	57c	40.08$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.23	733	55.3%405 W · 328 L	+22.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under	46c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	217	48.4%105 W · 112 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over	54c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.4	738	49.3%364 W · 374 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over	61c	38.33$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.77	2,223	55.4%1,231 W · 992 L	+73.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over	55c	36.36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.36	192	52.6%101 W · 91 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Over	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.1	830	53%440 W · 390 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over	54c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	1,245	56.9%708 W · 537 L	+31.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefff…a781backed Over	50c	29.08$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.59	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under	50c	28.56$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.39	873	70.1%612 W · 261 L	+91.6wins	+0.10per pick	60cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	49c	23$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.27	1,814	49.1%891 W · 923 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Over	51c	20.69$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.14	434	59%256 W · 178 L	+19.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over	54c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	788	54.6%430 W · 358 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Over	54c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	99	49.5%49 W · 50 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8766…4171backed Under	65c	19.63$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.76	143	51.7%74 W · 69 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under	59c	17.95$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.68	244	48.8%119 W · 125 L	-14.9wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5this page
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Over won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit TigersNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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