TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,604
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,237

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,604 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under57c56,403$32,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,136.911,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over43c18,848$8,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,743.3671650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over42c16,582$6,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,659.2111,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c8,197$4,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,102.2910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Over50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00048451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c6,253$3,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,512.148,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Over43c6,040$2,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,442.576747.8%32 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over44c4,875$2,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,730.154,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over43c4,404$1,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,510.283,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over43c2,794$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.681,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under63c2,623$1,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.094,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over42c2,574$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.6212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over43c1,684$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.985,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked Over43c1,646$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.42839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over43c1,542$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.942,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe459…737dbacked Under57c1,509$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.6110747.7%51 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over48c1,451$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.172,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under62c1,290$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9938353.5%205 W · 178 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under62c1,290$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.3456253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7be0…ca40backed Over44c1,163$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.58775.9%66 W · 21 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+18.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over43c1,140$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.024,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over43c1,024$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.682,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under27c997.44$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.051,00058.8%588 W · 412 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over46c769.19$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.88,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under63c655.24$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.887750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34245748.6%222 W · 235 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over38c436.42$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.5812549.6%62 W · 63 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over43c390$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.31,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over43c368.02$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.5229752.5%156 W · 141 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over43c348.83$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.8313345.9%61 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Under58c348.28$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Over45c327.58$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.1789153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Over39c259$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.9934443.9%151 W · 193 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over49c258.12$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.474,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over52c236$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.95,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe426…f4ffbacked Over43c184.19$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9911956.3%67 W · 52 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058649.5%290 W · 296 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over43c156$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.922,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb146…c098backed Under52c141.92$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.84250%21 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over43c140$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.840446.5%188 W · 216 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over44c140$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.41,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over43c130$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.11,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under63c126.64$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.631,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over46c109.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0373355.3%405 W · 328 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under57c96$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.722,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Over36c90.95$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2519542.6%83 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over54c85.85$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.243,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd5a…aa7abacked Over51c80.34$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.467448.6%36 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over44c80$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.22,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over77c79.09$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.318,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Under59c76.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4547646.2%220 W · 256 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab8b…24ffbacked Over60c74.27$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9824843.5%108 W · 140 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc28…ede2backed Under56c73.21$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d2…9ac2backed Under56c68.92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.65440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over69c67.9$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.055,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x792e…fd6cbacked Over44c61.91$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.672748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Over43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.241236.7%151 W · 261 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0d3…cae1backed Over43c57.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.81425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over79c57$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.972,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over42c55.12$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.921,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over43c52.63$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked Under63c48.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.488056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under47c45.15$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.164,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over43c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.873849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over43c37.92$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.612,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under30c37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.147446.6%221 W · 253 L+26.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over49c34.4$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.452,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe465…4e4ebacked Over43c33.53$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.11450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4f…b174backed Over50c32.82$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3340753.3%217 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8766…4171backed Over70c31.01$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.314351.7%74 W · 69 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Over47c30.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0653644.6%239 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…90a8backed Over80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611138.7%43 W · 68 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a86…4eebbacked Over43c27.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.527850%39 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Over47c27.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4863954.5%348 W · 291 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under57c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2534846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Over43c23.26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2610066%66 W · 34 L+10.4wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+17.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Under60c22.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.233053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a1…ea66backed Under56c21.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.22236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under63c19.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6324448.8%119 W · 125 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Over79c18.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9243459%256 W · 178 L+19.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over70c14.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.41,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.