Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Warwickshire vs Glamorgan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd5d1be474faf2e30e087a2895b40bf81f46fa76fb7ae93a5bba237526f291e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warwickshireof Warwickshire, Glamorgan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Glamorgan | 25c | 5,817$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.12 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…d70abacked Warwickshire | 73c | 4,748$3,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.21 | 364 | 45.6%166 W · 198 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc980…b7d3backed Glamorgan | 11c | 1,368$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Warwickshire | 65c | 1,177$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.46 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6c…1a3cbacked Glamorgan | 5c | 1,008$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Glamorgan | 26c | 972.42$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.29 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b45fbacked Glamorgan | 24c | 716.75$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.86 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Glamorgan | 30c | 621.29$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.81 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked Glamorgan | 5c | 599.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Glamorgan | 14c | 537.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.18 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Glamorgan | 16c | 420$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Glamorgan | 32c | 417.26$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.01 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Warwickshire | 62c | 345.14$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.98 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Warwickshire | 57c | 320$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.66 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked Glamorgan | 5c | 320$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0389…847bbacked Glamorgan | 45c | 315.89$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.02 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Warwickshire | 70c | 302.06$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Warwickshire | 62c | 278.04$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.45 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Glamorgan | 37c | 263.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Glamorgan | 39c | 248.75$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Glamorgan | 44c | 247.36$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.84 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…5f78backed Warwickshire | 76c | 241.96$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Warwickshire | 51c | 241.8$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.3 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Glamorgan | 17c | 240$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Glamorgan | 35c | 219.63$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.87 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Warwickshire | 59c | 219.31$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.82 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Warwickshire | 66c | 200.86$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Glamorgan | 41c | 178.94$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Glamorgan | 32c | 173$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.11 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Glamorgan | 32c | 169.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Warwickshire | 72c | 162.16$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…d1f0backed Warwickshire | 65c | 154.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9065…3275backed Warwickshire | 65c | 149.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Glamorgan | 28c | 149.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc2…c4b3backed Glamorgan | 36c | 147.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Glamorgan | 28c | 143.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Glamorgan | 45c | 135$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Warwickshire | 63c | 133.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Warwickshire | 56c | 129.25$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Warwickshire | 55c | 108.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…a123backed Warwickshire | 73c | 96.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…987dbacked Glamorgan | 44c | 88.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Warwickshire | 60c | 80.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Warwickshire | 78c | 74.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Glamorgan | 44c | 67.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Glamorgan | 44c | 63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Warwickshire | 68c | 53.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a4…4917backed Glamorgan | 44c | 53.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Glamorgan | 50c | 53.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Warwickshire | 67c | 52.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Warwickshire | 50c | 50.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Warwickshire | 75c | 49.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Warwickshire | 48c | 48.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Warwickshire | 53c | 47.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Glamorgan | 50c | 47.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Warwickshire | 36c | 45.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Glamorgan | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Warwickshire | 76c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Warwickshire | 56c | 37.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Warwickshire | 64c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Glamorgan | 52c | 34.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Glamorgan | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Glamorgan | 41c | 28.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Warwickshire | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Glamorgan | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Warwickshire | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Warwickshire | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Warwickshire | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Warwickshire | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Warwickshire | 71c | 21.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.