Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Lipscomb Bisons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdde67102aae307ae969bb8ace30212f43fe39fdeae7a4a64a041d6975bb6357
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesof Florida Gulf Coast Eagles, Lipscomb Bisons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,705 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lipscomb Bisons | 63c | 4,073$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.85 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 37c | 3,330$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.72 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Lipscomb Bisons | 64c | 2,870$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.04 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Lipscomb Bisons | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.85 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Lipscomb Bisons | 33c | 1,343$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.78 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 36c | 1,339$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.03 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 54c | 1,002$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.64 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaec…968cbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 38c | 995.34$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 59c | 813.48$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.73 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 65c | 628.11$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.09 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 36c | 609$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.85 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…36c8backed Lipscomb Bisons | 37c | 595.23$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 36c | 565.86$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.15 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 21c | 493.93$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.91 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Lipscomb Bisons | 41c | 468.11$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.93 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f8b4backed Lipscomb Bisons | 17c | 467.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.57 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 37c | 444.28$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.89 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 36c | 429.36$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.79 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 33c | 397.41$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.43 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Lipscomb Bisons | 64c | 309.98$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.39 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 75c | 267.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 63c | 246.67$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.55 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Lipscomb Bisons | 42c | 236.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 75c | 235.84$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Lipscomb Bisons | 16c | 222.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 75c | 209.6$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 39c | 198.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.37 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28f…6d18backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 79c | 170.63$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 45c | 168.86$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.87 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 62c | 159.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.78 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Lipscomb Bisons | 63c | 159.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…7e2ebacked Lipscomb Bisons | 59c | 152.44$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.24 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Lipscomb Bisons | 11c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Lipscomb Bisons | 62c | 145.7$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.87 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Lipscomb Bisons | 59c | 143.4$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0606…1d57backed Lipscomb Bisons | 62c | 139.84$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 37c | 135.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lipscomb Bisons | 17c | 121.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…7ba2backed Lipscomb Bisons | 58c | 117.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 41c | 109.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 69c | 108.59$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lipscomb Bisons | 21c | 106.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Lipscomb Bisons | 61c | 103.57$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 19c | 96.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 22c | 86.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Lipscomb Bisons | 64c | 77.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 74c | 76.81$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…8f8cbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 50c | 74.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…55b5backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 72c | 64.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 65c | 63.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 39c | 63.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 18c | 55.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 80c | 52.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…4489backed Lipscomb Bisons | 63c | 52.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 46c | 51.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 36c | 51.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 37c | 41.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2834…3f83backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 58c | 39.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Lipscomb Bisons | 59c | 39.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f8…8865backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 39c | 38.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…78d9backed Lipscomb Bisons | 63c | 36.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 36c | 35.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 39c | 34.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…7909backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 61c | 31.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x594d…ceafbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 39c | 30.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5b…a503backed Lipscomb Bisons | 62c | 30.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…2ea6backed Lipscomb Bisons | 64c | 29.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…e3e3backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 59c | 29.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 61c | 24.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Lipscomb Bisons | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 64c | 20.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Lipscomb Bisons | 62c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b1…513abacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Lipscomb Bisonsthis page
- Spread: Lipscomb Bisons (-4.5)Florida Gulf Coast Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.