Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Tarleton State Texans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdea62778fa8339a031a49b312cd2d2d519e2ef8acb5b41381f238335c725dd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utah Valley Wolverinesof Utah Valley Wolverines, Tarleton State Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Tarleton State Texans | 1c | 7,364$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Tarleton State Texans | 18c | 4,845$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.49 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Tarleton State Texans | 4c | 2,048$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.13 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 78c | 1,379$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.55 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tarleton State Texans | 24c | 1,279$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.76 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 71c | 1,140$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.11 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Tarleton State Texans | 34c | 1,000$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Tarleton State Texans | 27c | 881.32$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.84 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 67c | 680.76$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.84 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Tarleton State Texans | 31c | 592$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.12 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 63c | 520.31$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.31 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Tarleton State Texans | 34c | 388$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.92 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Tarleton State Texans | 32c | 313.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Tarleton State Texans | 13c | 275.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tarleton State Texans | 15c | 222.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Tarleton State Texans | 18c | 205.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 77c | 200.39$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9532…fba3backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 69c | 180$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 74c | 172.7$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 79c | 140.73$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Tarleton State Texans | 11c | 131.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 4.2%4 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -86%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Tarleton State Texans | 32c | 129.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tarleton State Texans | 15c | 127.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c9…bacfbacked Tarleton State Texans | 40c | 102.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Tarleton State Texans | 33c | 100.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Tarleton State Texans | 28c | 87.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 70c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Tarleton State Texans | 17c | 79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…25dfbacked Tarleton State Texans | 31c | 74.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 66c | 71.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 70c | 54.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 68c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 67c | 40.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…0cbebacked Tarleton State Texans | 29c | 39.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Tarleton State Texans | 33c | 38.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tarleton State Texans | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Tarleton State Texans | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 67c | 23.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86b6…2c52backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 66c | 18.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…ba1cbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 73c | 15.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.