TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Mitchell Krueger

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mark Lajalof Mark Lajal, Mitchell Krueger
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,209
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,965

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,209 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1a9…e51abacked Mitchell Krueger8c18,954$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.51812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+204.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe174…5b34backed Mitchell Krueger12c11,250$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3501414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf764…61e6backed Mitchell Krueger2c6,200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023723.6%56 W · 181 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x552b…f8bcbacked Mitchell Krueger4c5,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.91216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick12cpaid+105.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Mitchell Krueger8c4,700$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.2247728.1%134 W · 343 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Mark Lajal69c3,824$2,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.981,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Mark Lajal78c2,823$2,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.154,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Mark Lajal74c1,692$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.581,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Mitchell Krueger30c1,312$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.995,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcccc…05b2backed Mark Lajal80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25011372.6%82 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick78cpaid-6.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Mitchell Krueger25c1,081$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.1526131.4%82 W · 179 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xade2…e86dbacked Mark Lajal71c971.76$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.7652661.2%322 W · 204 L+1.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Mitchell Krueger32c968.75$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31032637.4%122 W · 204 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Mitchell Krueger20c935$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1874,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbea4…fac9backed Mark Lajal73c924.16$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.05785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick63cpaid+43.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Mark Lajal77c799.79$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.089,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe22…b709backed Mark Lajal77c779.22$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2212656.3%71 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Mitchell Krueger11c740.08$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.631,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5965…935fbacked Mitchell Krueger27c727.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017323.7%41 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Mitchell Krueger31c718.29$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.817,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Mark Lajal77c670.25$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.9865157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked Mitchell Krueger24c625.52$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022245.9%102 W · 120 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Mitchell Krueger32c600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1927,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Mitchell Krueger20c548.89$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7838141.2%157 W · 224 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Mitchell Krueger14c499.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6939451.3%202 W · 192 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6bf…05b6backed Mitchell Krueger22c485.87$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1072729.6%8 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Mark Lajal69c362.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5591754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mitchell Krueger21c360.56$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.46,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a14…9fe4backed Mark Lajal70c350.17$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0540935.7%146 W · 263 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Mitchell Krueger12c341.67$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4196049.5%475 W · 485 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Mark Lajal72c336.14$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.122,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x128a…819bbacked Mitchell Krueger32c314$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.484951%25 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae68…7f0cbacked Mark Lajal75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7510152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Mitchell Krueger25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe2…697abacked Mitchell Krueger32c297.44$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1812029.2%35 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Mark Lajal70c296.41$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9235360.9%215 W · 138 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Mitchell Krueger25c267.57$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.021,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3a15…0350backed Mark Lajal79c253.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.238461.9%52 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Mitchell Krueger23c245.48$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.552,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Mitchell Krueger21c233.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb74c…f4f1backed Mark Lajal70c228.57$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5715844.9%71 W · 87 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Mark Lajal70c214.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2986470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Mitchell Krueger19c206.46$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.666,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Mark Lajal77c199.99$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.24,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Mitchell Krueger11c194.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.972,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c22…0a8cbacked Mitchell Krueger17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3046440.5%188 W · 276 L-36.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Mark Lajal70c171.57$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5768157.6%392 W · 289 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Mitchell Krueger21c166.3$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.213,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4eb2…1bfcbacked Mark Lajal80c155.1$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0228055.4%155 W · 125 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Mitchell Krueger19c147.37$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2823942.7%102 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Mitchell Krueger22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3065434.9%228 W · 426 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Mitchell Krueger26c135.7$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.85,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa594…fe78backed Mark Lajal70c135.46$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.643871.1%27 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74fc…492cbacked Mark Lajal75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3317972.6%130 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick76cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Mitchell Krueger23c132.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030055.7%167 W · 133 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Mitchell Krueger31c130$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.31,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Mark Lajal78c120.83$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Mitchell Krueger34c114.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.861,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Mitchell Krueger32c113.77$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.192,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd420…01fcbacked Mark Lajal75c110.67$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6713158%76 W · 55 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Mitchell Krueger19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2048242.5%205 W · 277 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Mitchell Krueger30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3092352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Mitchell Krueger14c87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4730132.9%99 W · 202 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Mark Lajal79c76$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9692674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8100…1d33backed Mark Lajal68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5311765%76 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x997a…4cbebacked Mark Lajal69c70.9$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.982972.4%21 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Mitchell Krueger25c70.83$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1834047.6%162 W · 178 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Mark Lajal69c65.22$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2224159.3%143 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c66…afb9backed Mitchell Krueger26c64.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Mark Lajal78c64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.081,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Mitchell Krueger31c59.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8985637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Mark Lajal68c59$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Mitchell Krueger19c57.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.971,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Mitchell Krueger27c57.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.548152%250 W · 231 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Mitchell Krueger22c55.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2987741.3%362 W · 515 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed Mitchell Krueger31c51.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1232546.2%150 W · 175 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc809…41d4backed Mitchell Krueger33c50.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-58.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Mark Lajal70c50.07$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.075662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x091a…8287backed Mitchell Krueger33c47.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6811948.7%58 W · 61 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3504…5bc2backed Mark Lajal68c46.43$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.861675%12 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ad5…ccdebacked Mitchell Krueger32c41.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.255032.7%180 W · 370 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd4…da23backed Mitchell Krueger33c38.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9b8…4fa4backed Mark Lajal79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.973100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Mitchell Krueger31c37.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6341045.1%185 W · 225 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Mark Lajal74c33.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.881,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd52a…fdf3backed Mitchell Krueger33c30.96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-62.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f3e…bb7abacked Mark Lajal70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e02…9136backed Mark Lajal78c29.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Mark Lajal68c28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.961,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Mark Lajal77c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6226746.1%123 W · 144 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Mark Lajal67c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2710158.4%59 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Mark Lajal71c16.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.98282.9%68 W · 14 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+18.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc62f…1781backed Mark Lajal70c14.85$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4626664.7%172 W · 94 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Mark Lajal80c14.81$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.9694058.4%549 W · 391 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.