TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x175a…29c5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
28
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Lol, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.03
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.35
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$112.97
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$73.71
LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary - Game 2 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$97.25
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$105.79
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$71.01
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.02
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.25
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.77
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Kaufland Hangry Knights - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+32%+$18.89
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Abacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$70.38
LoL: G2 NORD vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Bbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$54.78
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$63.34
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$199.22
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$55.78
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.98
All 6 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.