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EventUs Midterms

KY-06 House Election Winner

Wallets last checked .

Us MidtermsSettled: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: Yes won. Yes: 8 wallets, $2,935 · No: 13 wallets, $2,580 8 of 21 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0xf26c…d5c5#4 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$5226c+$14870
0x0547…fb35#10 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$2256c+$17.768
0x98d0…f14a#22 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$1,20841c+$1,747.4865
0x274e…648c#26 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$25342c+$347.4665
0x4be5…c1b3#51 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$1,22174c+$421.6963
0x4e2d…4936#63 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$2240c-$21.5663
0x9dd9…08bd#112 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$1210c+$113.9461
0x2c41…133e#575 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$13168c-$130.5656
0x9b43…33ce#820 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1657c-$15.9155
0x2d6c…e3f5#978 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$4575c-$4554
0x2f26…0d8fNo place on the board tonightNolost (open this pick)$21855c-$217.6251
Top 51 to 200
0x88d7…5762#21 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$6845c+$82.566
0xaacb…5aec#193 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$10072c+$38.1259
0xa169…1b73#2,770 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$19649c-$196.3352
0x8373…f0bc#2,972 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$41455c-$413.9652
0xd9fe…db0dNo place on the board tonightNolost (open this pick)$7148c-$71.0451
0xf528…7e5bNo place on the board tonightNolost (open this pick)$1563c-$14.5751
0xc3cd…816c#5,642 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$95448c-$953.9851
0x7248…7e72No place on the board tonightNolost (open this pick)$9949c-$99.0150
0xeed8…35f0#11,492 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$14548c-$145.3149
0x1387…55f8#12,864 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$25530c-$254.748

Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 6 wallets, $1,192 · No: 14 wallets, $2,915 14 of 20 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0x0547…fb35#10 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$2956c+$22.3568
0x98d0…f14a#22 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$21441c+$307.6165
0x7e35…1a6c#88 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$70256c+$553.2462
0x9dd9…08bd#112 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$12878c-$128.461
0x2c41…133e#575 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$39869c-$398.1356
0x6b25…7a69#2,151 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$14559c-$145.0353
0x2f26…0d8fNo place on the board tonightYeslost (open this pick)$29351c-$292.7351
0x625b…22cf#10,463 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$11049c+$112.0949
Top 51 to 200
0xa45f…d6cb#8 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1242c+$16.2468
0xa667…ceb3#89 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$12956c+$101.4162
0x1c62…ca89#718 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1566c-$1555
0xa169…1b73#2,770 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$4554c+$38.0252
0x8373…f0bc#2,972 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$33744c+$420.452
0xd9fe…db0dNo place on the board tonightNowon (open this pick)$2344c+$29.8551
0xc3cd…816c#5,642 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$50849c+$521.9951
0xa917…4e8d#5,741 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$21369c-$212.551
0x7248…7e72No place on the board tonightNowon (open this pick)$8754c+$73.9850
0xae2a…384d#8,221 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1654c+$13.850
0xeed8…35f0#11,492 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$5857c+$44.3449
0x1387…55f8#12,864 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$64776c+$204.6348
About this page

A settled market shows the wallets that were in the top 200 when it was played, the same wallets its open page showed, with the pick each one held to the end and whether it won. Their place on the board is tonight's. A market played before 1 November 2026, when we began to keep the top 200, shows the top 50 of that time.