Tennis · resolved market
Murcia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Jan Choinski
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x003ce1aed41d5e03f5aeb6989422b7b7458a11130096e52022d30f4a8a416501
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pablo Llamas Ruizof Pablo Llamas Ruiz, Jan Choinski
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $290,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,795 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jan Choinski | 14c | 17,911$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.69 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Jan Choinski | 19c | 16,957$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,238.69 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jan Choinski | 12c | 15,814$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.01 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jan Choinski | 20c | 5,784$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.16 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Jan Choinski | 16c | 3,899$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.36 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jan Choinski | 17c | 3,368$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.04 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Jan Choinski | 17c | 2,413$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.79 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Jan Choinski | 20c | 2,103$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.09 | 321 | 31.2%100 W · 221 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 79c | 1,991$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.38 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…e1adbacked Jan Choinski | 14c | 1,488$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.11 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…e271backed Jan Choinski | 34c | 1,471$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.49 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Jan Choinski | 50c | 1,260$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 991 | 39.9%395 W · 596 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 67c | 1,088$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.48 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Jan Choinski | 14c | 914.68$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.07 | 521 | 33%172 W · 349 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Jan Choinski | 17c | 801$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.31 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Jan Choinski | 27c | 697.1$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.79 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Jan Choinski | 18c | 697$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.31 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…4090backed Jan Choinski | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Jan Choinski | 52c | 632.5$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.9 | 444 | 48.9%217 W · 227 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Jan Choinski | 26c | 630$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Jan Choinski | 14c | 601.09$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 72c | 600$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 158 | 60.8%96 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Jan Choinski | 20c | 592$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.69 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Jan Choinski | 11c | 580.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Jan Choinski | 10c | 561.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Jan Choinski | 21c | 547.24$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 63c | 533.08$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.69 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jan Choinski | 30c | 509.04$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.11 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Jan Choinski | 25c | 470.47$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.88 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Jan Choinski | 9c | 452.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 74c | 406.24$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.61 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Jan Choinski | 13c | 396.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jan Choinski | 20c | 393.93$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Jan Choinski | 52c | 384.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 64c | 379.64$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.96 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Jan Choinski | 16c | 344.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x545f…66dbbacked Jan Choinski | 50c | 339.11$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…788dbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Jan Choinski | 36c | 305.69$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.15 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Jan Choinski | 14c | 258.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Jan Choinski | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 63c | 236.2$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.39 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 50c | 224.47$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.29 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Jan Choinski | 38c | 215.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.74 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Jan Choinski | 25c | 205.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…6118backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 67c | 202.01$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.01 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 43c | 185.57$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.57 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Jan Choinski | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc8…7f4bbacked Jan Choinski | 49c | 174.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.95 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Jan Choinski | 44c | 172.05$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Jan Choinski | 38c | 161.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 61c | 160$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…35d7backed Jan Choinski | 14c | 157.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 65c | 154$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Jan Choinski | 32c | 153.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Jan Choinski | 37c | 139.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Jan Choinski | 37c | 139.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d491backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 61c | 134.05$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…6af2backed Jan Choinski | 12c | 133.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 128 | 35.2%45 W · 83 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 65c | 131.97$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 59c | 124.93$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb32…787dbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 65c | 121.58$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Jan Choinski | 37c | 119.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Jan Choinski | 38c | 114.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 72c | 114.08$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Jan Choinski | 23c | 108.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 74c | 107.87$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 349 | 50.4%176 W · 173 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 48c | 106.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Jan Choinski | 16c | 104.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Jan Choinski | 22c | 101.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,926 | 55.4%1,067 W · 859 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…9cc7backed Jan Choinski | 15c | 91.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Jan Choinski | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 66c | 78.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3a…eb2fbacked Jan Choinski | 26c | 77.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 65c | 77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa285…9394backed Jan Choinski | 34c | 74.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…61cabacked Jan Choinski | 16c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Jan Choinski | 44c | 65.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 66c | 64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x289c…79bcbacked Jan Choinski | 47c | 61.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 54c | 61.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Jan Choinski | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 62c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 147 | 46.3%68 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 73c | 53.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 56c | 53.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 172 | 60.5%104 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 2,135 | 56%1,195 W · 940 L | +41.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Jan Choinski | 37c | 49.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 63c | 47.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…c1d0backed Jan Choinski | 38c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a69…120abacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 70c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d0…fa43backed Jan Choinski | 27c | 42.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 108 | 32.4%35 W · 73 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 58c | 41.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 56c | 41.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ac…7c01backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 64c | 39.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Murcia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Jan Choinskithis page
- Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs. Jan Choinski: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Ruiz vs. Choinski: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Ruiz vs ChoinskiRuiz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.