Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0151ca7da1bf1f8b457688eaab1b357b21ff9f4b7c9799dae1f77cd6efecc021
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 48c | 1,247$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.39 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 58c | 631.34$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.89 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed No | 21c | 548.54$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.35 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…488cbacked Yes | 43c | 498.81$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.14 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 33c | 440.59$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.63 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 41c | 375.5$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.65 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 6c | 344.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 69c | 325.33$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.81 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 54c | 263.36$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.35 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 52c | 256.13$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 19c | 218$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 48c | 185$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.58 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 49c | 167.23$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.14 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 44c | 154.02$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.78 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 51c | 149$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.57 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 60c | 142.97$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.79 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 53c | 142.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.17 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…3ca8backed No | 50c | 138.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 27c | 136.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 61c | 120.18$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 10c | 119.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 25c | 118.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 39c | 103.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…fc29backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…f570backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af3…c472backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86cc…f46ebacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 40c | 96.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 73c | 91.8$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 47c | 89.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 62c | 86.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked No | 59c | 79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 635 | 38.4%244 W · 391 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 20c | 77.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 70c | 73.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 57c | 70.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5787…1f86backed No | 49c | 69.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 235 | 60%141 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 40c | 68.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 25c | 68.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 60c | 62.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked Yes | 45c | 61.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 29c | 58.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 54c | 54.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 37c | 52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…e575backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8547…39abbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 148 | 33.1%49 W · 99 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9676…4374backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cc…9e01backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…68ffbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…5b51backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 67c | 49.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db6…e1f8backed No | 58c | 49.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed Yes | 52c | 47.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 26c | 47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 22c | 46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 45c | 44.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15da…4e2abacked No | 58c | 43.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…8b59backed Yes | 55c | 43.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 434 | 41.5%180 W · 254 L | +29.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 33c | 41.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b18…b5eebacked Yes | 32c | 39.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 56c | 39.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…7c3abacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd115…4906backed Yes | 75c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 135 | 88.1%119 W · 16 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 34c | 37.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 30c | 37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 32c | 36.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 56c | 34.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…b9e8backed Yes | 30c | 34.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…8c58backed No | 56c | 33.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 77c | 33.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 39c | 32.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 36c | 30.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…651fbacked No | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…e47abacked Yes | 37c | 29.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 181 | 31.5%57 W · 124 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 62c | 27.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c18…926abacked Yes | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…b2a8backed No | 68c | 20.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 293 | 54.3%159 W · 134 L | -25.6wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on June 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.