MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01f142bf26400cf9371db3d0ba9ec71f275b524af75d14fae698aa4cb9aea0b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 63c | 4,229$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.6 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 30c | 2,941$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.61 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 38c | 1,980$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.83 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 42c | 1,300$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.6 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 33c | 1,174$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.42 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 52c | 792.67$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.19 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 775.75$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.03 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 38c | 697.02$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.06 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 47c | 645.4$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.67 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 69c | 616.89$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.44 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 48c | 444.02$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.66 | 1,022 | 50.6%517 W · 505 L | +54.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 44c | 217$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.17 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 36c | 180.57$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.65 | 570 | 58.4%333 W · 237 L | +27.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 36c | 145$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 634 | 54.3%344 W · 290 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…284abacked Under | 21c | 142.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.85 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 63c | 121.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 778 | 52.2%406 W · 372 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 36c | 111.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 35c | 106.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201e…1a3bbacked Under | 67c | 99.03$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 32c | 93.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 44c | 83.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Under | 29c | 81.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 65c | 79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 36c | 61.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 800 | 52%416 W · 384 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 32c | 58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 36c | 52.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 476 | 46.8%223 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…7b22backed Over | 37c | 39.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 895 | 48.3%432 W · 463 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 78c | 32.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 64c | 21.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay RaysChicago White Sox won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.