TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,223
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,371

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,223 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over49c88,888$43,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,555.051,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c25,350$12,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,424.5610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under51c22,577$11,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,021.0611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under52c17,588$9,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,44271650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under51c12,770$6,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,257.33,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Under51c11,150$5,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,463.3820845.2%94 W · 114 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80036246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under48c9,558$4,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,956.784,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over52c3,549$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.78,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under50c3,295$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,651.782,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c2,648$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.96,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c2,600$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.138,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2251,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over47c2,121$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.8144451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under51c1,600$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78464452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Over48c1,584$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.4686548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58856253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under51c1,177$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.732,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Under53c1,132$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.0838551.4%198 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over57c1,100$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.258,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under40c808.33$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4851,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under51c605$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.492,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under51c551.47$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.2256851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf636…5465backed Under51c542.31$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.739956.6%56 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2455,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24045445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Under51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.248851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Under51c490$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.118741.2%77 W · 110 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under53c448$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.561,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under51c399$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.511,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under51c392$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.081,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf58d…1fadbacked Under51c372.55$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.551861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Under57c367.28$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.2946152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under53c305$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.3568053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1471,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Under54c294.6$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.8353655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c238.05$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.1412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over49c228.42$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.182,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Under53c226.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4281257.3%465 W · 347 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Under54c220.93$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1146255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12031844%140 W · 178 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e4e…8413backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under53c190$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.344949.2%221 W · 228 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under51c180$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.28245.1%37 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3461…ce6cbacked Under52c153.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.852642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under47c146.49$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.975,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44e…284abacked Under42c142.15$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.156132.8%20 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over53c141.49$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.762,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under51c132$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.682,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5073243.4%318 W · 414 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under41c97.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.553,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over48c83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8440446.5%188 W · 216 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under51c79.29$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.462,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81e4…f356backed Over66c71.79$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.385468.5%37 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked Under51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8223357.5%134 W · 99 L+22.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under52c55.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8888247.7%421 W · 461 L+3.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Under48c54.58$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5355448.2%267 W · 287 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under51c52.86$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.91,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over49c52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.481,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1465…e0dbbacked Under51c49.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4814544.8%65 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under51c45.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.251,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over32c43.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8647446.6%221 W · 253 L+26.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2470…7ae6backed Under51c41.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.57248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4f…b174backed Over61c40.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0540753.3%217 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over57c40.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.092,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under34c38.79$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.69,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under60c38.75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.51,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Over56c38.39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.531449.4%155 W · 159 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca6…9da8backed Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.742937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Under52c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8434443.9%151 W · 193 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under51c30.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7940341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.434846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c22…7b22backed Under51c28.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.037050%35 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over66c28.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.695,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58ac…7636backed Under36c27.86$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.833435.3%12 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3238…6471backed Under53c24.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7410252%53 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbf…7ce5backed Over48c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5212140.5%49 W · 72 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d4d…2008backed Over50c23.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.885141.2%21 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb15e…7c54backed Under53c22.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.383026.7%8 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-44.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over49c20.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.156435.1%198 W · 366 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99d4…7c0dbacked Under51c20.27$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9328948.1%139 W · 150 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Over59c20.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.926857.1%153 W · 115 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Under51c19.88$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.749755.7%54 W · 43 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.