MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0209eee007370a1278dbe81187c15b2e0d7a8de8bb674f3204abdb213e5f2747
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Cubs, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Cubs | 46c | 20,147$9,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,267.82 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Tigers | 54c | 13,965$7,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,423.85 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Tigers | 52c | 12,274$6,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,891.42 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Cubs | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 496 | 50.2%249 W · 247 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cubs | 46c | 3,481$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.35 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Tigers | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Tigers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Cubs | 49c | 1,999$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.51 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Tigers | 53c | 1,966$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.01 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Cubs | 3c | 1,819$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 10c | 1,706$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.93 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Cubs | 20c | 1,505$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Cubs | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Cubs | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cubs | 50c | 1,204$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 47c | 1,182$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.04 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Cubs | 35c | 869.57$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.78 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -15.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Cubs | 44c | 808$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.52 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tigers | 54c | 735.95$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.54 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Cubs | 7c | 671.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d61…8c6ebacked Cubs | 18c | 610$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Tigers | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Cubs | 5c | 585$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Cubs | 2c | 580$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cubs | 3c | 550$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Cubs | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Tigers | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Tigers | 77c | 485.65$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.54 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 39c | 463.13$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.61 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Cubs | 46c | 437.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Cubs | 48c | 418$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.64 | 920 | 50%460 W · 460 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Cubs | 34c | 411.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Cubs | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cubs | 6c | 382$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cubs | 9c | 266$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Tigers | 57c | 256.64$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.36 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Cubs | 40c | 246.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Tigers | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cubs | 47c | 224$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.28 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Cubs | 47c | 209.67$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Cubs | 16c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Tigers | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Cubs | 13c | 184.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Cubs | 22c | 178.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 57c | 174.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 57c | 174.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Tigers | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Tigers | 52c | 123.08$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…7c26backed Cubs | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56d0…057dbacked Cubs | 45c | 112$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…8a52backed Tigers | 55c | 112$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Cubs | 48c | 111$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cubs | 45c | 108.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Tigers | 58c | 106$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Cubs | 42c | 106$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cubs | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cubs | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cubs | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Cubs | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Tigers | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9705…17f4backed Tigers | 55c | 99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd3…fdf0backed Cubs | 45c | 99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…a13cbacked Cubs | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…7554backed Cubs | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…b4b4backed Tigers | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…5609backed Cubs | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Cubs | 44c | 79.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf8…0d4abacked Tigers | 55c | 78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb064…3d25backed Cubs | 45c | 78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…7f8dbacked Tigers | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa634…4deabacked Cubs | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tigers | 54c | 68.49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…9e4bbacked Tigers | 55c | 67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c88…e0c0backed Cubs | 45c | 67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Cubs | 26c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Cubs | 46c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fac…dc88backed Cubs | 45c | 64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd1…8768backed Tigers | 55c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Tigers | 52c | 61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cubs | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c9…0251backed Cubs | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba60…17debacked Tigers | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Tigers | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…6ee2backed Cubs | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Cubs | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Tigers | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…ed66backed Tigers | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cubs | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Cubs | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a8…59e3backed Cubs | 24c | 46.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cubs | 49c | 46.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Tigers | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Cubs | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Tigers | 54c | 35.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cubs | 42c | 34.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45f1…8994backed Tigers | 80c | 34.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Tigers | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.