Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x020a5e70dd1681fd03cab48561803c7cb6b477822d48071d31edc4bc6aafb890
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 31c | 696.09$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.33 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 29c | 664.23$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.28 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed No | 27c | 496$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.33 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 67c | 471.59$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.32 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Yes | 71c | 451.35$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.23 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 42c | 429.32$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.56 | 539 | 25.6%138 W · 401 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 61c | 400.67$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.35 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 23c | 299.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 69c | 209.9$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…4f51backed No | 55c | 182.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.18 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 22c | 174.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 74c | 172.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.01 | 548 | 53.1%291 W · 257 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 42c | 158.4$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 26c | 142.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 45c | 139.25$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 73c | 124.97$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.32 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 36c | 113.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c1…b127backed No | 27c | 109.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 170 | 20%34 W · 136 L | -21.0wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 28c | 105.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…8239backed No | 27c | 104.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…20a1backed No | 72c | 100.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.82 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd6…5ab1backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 75cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed Yes | 73c | 99.1$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 58c | 98.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 77c | 98.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 29c | 92.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 72c | 92.77$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.97 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked No | 71c | 91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 720 | 42.2%304 W · 416 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 77c | 85.97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xd115…4906backed Yes | 76c | 85.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 135 | 88.1%119 W · 16 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 73c | 82.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 74.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 74c | 73.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 32c | 71.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 64c | 70$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 73c | 68.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked No | 44c | 67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 31c | 63.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 57c | 54.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 69c | 52.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 55c | 51.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…4828backed Yes | 73c | 50.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 63c | 49.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…8d41backed No | 43c | 45.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 423 | 66.4%281 W · 142 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e40…224ebacked Yes | 68c | 44.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 62c | 43.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 46c | 43.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbc…9282backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 62c | 40.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 72c | 38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 67c | 36.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…4983backed No | 42c | 33.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 336 | 54.2%182 W · 154 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…ac1abacked Yes | 77c | 33.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 71c | 33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d2…e95cbacked Yes | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2706…c6bebacked No | 65c | 31.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 318 | 66%210 W · 108 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…aa3bbacked Yes | 45c | 26.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 124 | 53.2%66 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa016…67c2backed No | 74c | 25.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 511 | 56.6%289 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 66c | 21.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850f…b208backed No | 69c | 21.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…f600backed Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…6199backed No | 74c | 20.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 622 | 75.2%468 W · 154 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…3f79backed No | 70c | 20.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 493 | 59%291 W · 202 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd247…792abacked Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1028…1316backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…a722backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…df40backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…3144backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 219 | 50.7%111 W · 108 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 927 | 61.7%572 W · 355 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…9e1dbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…42efbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…8817backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 397 | 68.8%273 W · 124 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 64c | 19.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…ceb2backed Yes | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 136 | 37.5%51 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on July 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.