Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: DR Congo 1 - 0 Uzbekistan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04a7d6889146b6bad1ff540f0304aac6d9a4dae0de17df1103cdcc8b30dc3644
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 19,831$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.42 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 17,255$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.46 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…43f7backed Yes | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 232 | 30.2%70 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 15c | 2,914$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.97 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 15c | 2,754$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.17 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 272 | 36%98 W · 174 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…e21bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 268 | 36.9%99 W · 169 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 11c | 654.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b71…f840backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x485a…21cbbacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3830…d2d5backed Yes | 4c | 329.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 311 | 32.2%100 W · 211 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd6…77dabacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 29.3%39 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…ce09backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…c681backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +72%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…40f4backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…29febacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 15c | 305.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 10c | 239.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 15c | 226.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Yes | 16c | 206.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 14c | 195.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 283 | 26.1%74 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Yes | 16c | 173.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 13c | 172.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 15c | 166$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 16c | 161.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 294 | 28.9%85 W · 209 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0c…5034backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 34.5%40 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…0f14backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…9527backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 16c | 124.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…6470backed Yes | 16c | 118.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…2213backed Yes | 16c | 112.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…ed31backed Yes | 16c | 106$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…6f38backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea59…f29dbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +55%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6de…8d6abacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e7…5041backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 267 | 38.2%102 W · 165 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de2…1d6fbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 14c | 99.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3107…fe91backed Yes | 16c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ed…545cbacked Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 94 | 17%16 W · 78 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…ad62backed Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 132 | 15.2%20 W · 112 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 15c | 70.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…457bbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 142 | 16.2%23 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8605…18a1backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…7e5dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 304 | 32.6%99 W · 205 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00dd…5215backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 136 | 15.4%21 W · 115 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…5f66backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…6c3cbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 28.6%73 W · 182 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…5c7fbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cb…b6d0backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5842…5ab8backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 181 | 50.8%92 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ff…b050backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…b713backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 17.6%21 W · 98 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b53…ce04backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 10.4%11 W · 95 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cda…de81backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: DR Congo 1 - 0 Uzbekistan?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: DR Congo 0 - 0 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: DR Congo 0 - 1 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: DR Congo 0 - 2 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: DR Congo 0 - 3 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: DR Congo 1 - 1 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: DR Congo 1 - 2 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: DR Congo 1 - 3 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: DR Congo 2 - 0 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: DR Congo 2 - 1 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: DR Congo 2 - 2 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: DR Congo 2 - 3 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: DR Congo 3 - 0 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: DR Congo 3 - 1 Uzbekistan?Yes won
- Exact Score: DR Congo 3 - 2 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: DR Congo 3 - 3 Uzbekistan?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.