Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0612f6a5e9f0e208b01e3dcf14eb9fd5cb6a50c9f92f71244c164e7094146872
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 50c | 427.76$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 2,299 | 17.8%409 W · 1,890 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 63c | 410.29$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.22 | 4,739 | 47.5%2,249 W · 2,490 L | -186.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 73c | 400$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.7 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 44c | 386.68$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 1,901 | 55.9%1,062 W · 839 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 41c | 299.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.99 | 419 | 27%113 W · 306 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 13c | 271.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 2,362 | 20.6%486 W · 1,876 L | -63.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f64…452abacked No | 61c | 245.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 39c | 238.24$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 985 | 13.8%136 W · 849 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…f2febacked Yes | 42c | 219.46$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.28 | 131 | 27.5%36 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23c…fa0dbacked Yes | 12c | 213.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 29c | 210$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.12 | 577 | 44.9%259 W · 318 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked Yes | 33c | 205.96$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 2,506 | 69.7%1,747 W · 759 L | +78.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 51c | 200.64$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.07 | 1,370 | 20.7%283 W · 1,087 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1,335 | 50.9%680 W · 655 L | -35.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…08e0backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 57c | 199.16$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.95 | 631 | 22.5%142 W · 489 L | -29.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 57c | 185.2$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.28 | 264 | 66.7%176 W · 88 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 31c | 183.39$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.41 | 2,223 | 56.1%1,247 W · 976 L | +54.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed No | 58c | 173.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.86 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +24.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 58c | 170.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.31 | 3,725 | 33.8%1,258 W · 2,467 L | -194.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6b…3a4cbacked No | 61c | 165.58$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…6effbacked No | 58c | 165.38$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.62 | 535 | 48.2%258 W · 277 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed Yes | 40c | 149.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 679 | 44.6%303 W · 376 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 36c | 147.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 547 | 38.6%211 W · 336 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 45c | 145.53$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.41 | 2,226 | 59.1%1,316 W · 910 L | +110.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 65c | 140.22$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 560 | 67.1%376 W · 184 L | +26.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 27c | 140$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 1,177 | 34.9%411 W · 766 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…1bb0backed Yes | 39c | 137.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…3d88backed No | 66c | 135$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 525 | 67%352 W · 173 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…ccccbacked Yes | 73c | 134.78$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 96 | 71.9%69 W · 27 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 38c | 132.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 1,671 | 37.9%633 W · 1,038 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 39c | 125$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 1,246 | 30%374 W · 872 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 65c | 124.42$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 4,467 | 65.1%2,907 W · 1,560 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fb…32c8backed Yes | 52c | 111.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 41c | 111$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 637 | 33.4%213 W · 424 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…f1e1backed Yes | 43c | 106.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…63a4backed Yes | 40c | 100.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b66…02edbacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fad…242fbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,158 | 57.1%661 W · 497 L | -45.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,274 | 52.5%669 W · 605 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…19d5backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…fb3cbacked No | 54c | 96.78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 221 | 60.6%134 W · 87 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 54c | 96.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 5,625 | 47.8%2,687 W · 2,938 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 37c | 94.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | +37.7wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e75…0f1ebacked Yes | 34c | 92.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 46c | 92.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 2,216 | 56.8%1,258 W · 958 L | +65.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 33c | 81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 855 | 35.7%305 W · 550 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 37c | 77.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.16 | 1,936 | 38.1%737 W · 1,199 L | +296.8wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 47c | 76.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 1,244 | 61.7%767 W · 477 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edd…013cbacked No | 65c | 76.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 38c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 678 | 38.6%262 W · 416 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…b91abacked No | 66c | 72.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ac…cae8backed Yes | 69c | 72.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d60…d955backed No | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 132 | 24.2%32 W · 100 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed Yes | 34c | 67.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 588 | 50.9%299 W · 289 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 41c | 67.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 2,254 | 56.9%1,283 W · 971 L | +69.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4441…680abacked Yes | 74c | 67.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 41c | 67.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 2,286 | 57.3%1,309 W · 977 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 36c | 67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 2,757 | 29.7%819 W · 1,938 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2844…5aa1backed Yes | 66c | 65.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 40c | 65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 1,488 | 57.3%853 W · 635 L | +46.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 36c | 64.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 4,009 | 47.3%1,897 W · 2,112 L | +71.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed Yes | 39c | 64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1,826 | 62.9%1,149 W · 677 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 40c | 63.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 2,233 | 56%1,250 W · 983 L | +47.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 49c | 61.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 4,442 | 53.7%2,387 W · 2,055 L | -17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 74c | 60.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 144 | 32.6%47 W · 97 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 632 | 47.3%299 W · 333 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87db…e21ebacked Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 44c | 59.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 2,201 | 56.8%1,250 W · 951 L | +69.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…01fabacked Yes | 33c | 57.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa119…1876backed Yes | 39c | 56.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 37c | 54.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 2,250 | 57%1,282 W · 968 L | +65.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…e12fbacked No | 65c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…8c99backed No | 63c | 52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 3,835 | 61.1%2,345 W · 1,490 L | -35.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 9,962 | 45.9%4,572 W · 5,390 L | -309.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3,032 | 31.3%949 W · 2,083 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b37…8f10backed Yes | 43c | 46.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038c…b4e0backed No | 61c | 46.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe033…8ff0backed Yes | 51c | 45.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…8ee8backed No | 63c | 45.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 61c | 44.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 455 | 66.2%301 W · 154 L | +20.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 36c | 43.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 2,283 | 58.3%1,331 W · 952 L | +85.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 41c | 43.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 2,295 | 59.3%1,360 W · 935 L | +118.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x415e…a1e3backed Yes | 40c | 42.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ea…7838backed Yes | 50c | 41.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 202 | 41.1%83 W · 119 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…895bbacked Yes | 38c | 38.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…26babacked Yes | 41c | 36.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec90…fd41backed Yes | 34c | 36.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…8bfebacked Yes | 59c | 35.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 230 | 66.5%153 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…ded2backed Yes | 39c | 35.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 172 | 62.8%108 W · 64 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 550 | 26.9%148 W · 402 L | -66.5wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…4ba6backed No | 64c | 34.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked Yes | 38c | 33.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 245 | 70.6%173 W · 72 L | +22.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba5…c168backed No | 61c | 32.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…0d6bbacked No | 75c | 31.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 166 | 68.1%113 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…c039backed No | 64c | 31.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 199 | 46.2%92 W · 107 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…3abebacked Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on August 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.