Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd52adb188ea6f7adb369bfdd6a60fc8decd531fb953a29a2e5207c1d31ce73f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 66c | 1,638$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.63 | 2,506 | 69.7%1,747 W · 759 L | +78.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 34c | 537.87$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.72 | 10,952 | 37.4%4,094 W · 6,858 L | +432.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a81…6cf9backed Yes | 42c | 481.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.87 | 172 | 24.4%42 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked Yes | 39c | 475.71$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.84 | 629 | 60.3%379 W · 250 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…6effbacked Yes | 42c | 453.54$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.91 | 535 | 48.2%258 W · 277 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 11c | 418.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 1,936 | 38.1%737 W · 1,199 L | +296.8wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked No | 58c | 400$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.18 | 1,488 | 57.3%853 W · 635 L | +46.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 62c | 372.35$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.42 | 1,901 | 55.9%1,062 W · 839 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd115…4906backed Yes | 77c | 349.65$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.83 | 148 | 87.8%130 W · 18 L | +28.3wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…8e3cbacked No | 65c | 347.26$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.06 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 36c | 295.89$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.31 | 621 | 46.2%287 W · 334 L | +40.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ad…69f5backed Yes | 34c | 294.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.11 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 61c | 287.64$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.67 | 2,201 | 62.2%1,370 W · 831 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…decbbacked Yes | 44c | 272.83$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.83 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…cafebacked Yes | 39c | 262.75$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.79 | 265 | 56.2%149 W · 116 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f64…452abacked No | 59c | 254.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked No | 58c | 214.88$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.73 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +28.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 60c | 199.19$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.97 | 4,739 | 47.5%2,249 W · 2,490 L | -186.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 44c | 178.05$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.63 | 419 | 27%113 W · 306 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…39d5backed Yes | 44c | 169.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.67 | 254 | 29.1%74 W · 180 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 60c | 167.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.43 | 12,545 | 46.9%5,879 W · 6,666 L | -39.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 41c | 164.66$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.47 | 5,625 | 47.8%2,687 W · 2,938 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 66c | 164.01$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 1,067 | 50.7%541 W · 526 L | +29.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 70c | 153.17$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.56 | 2,254 | 58.2%1,311 W · 943 L | +84.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…e12fbacked Yes | 34c | 146.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes | 34c | 144.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.81 | 600 | 32%192 W · 408 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed Yes | 36c | 140.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.17 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 57c | 140.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.44 | 560 | 67.1%376 W · 184 L | +26.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 50c | 126.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 1,244 | 61.7%767 W · 477 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ab…c8dfbacked Yes | 38c | 122.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 43c | 118.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 632 | 47.3%299 W · 333 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed Yes | 34c | 115.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.28 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 57c | 114.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 4,467 | 65.1%2,907 W · 1,560 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…b91abacked Yes | 35c | 113.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.78 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 43c | 113.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 12,975 | 20.5%2,666 W · 10,309 L | -2,698.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 45c | 106$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 1,246 | 30%374 W · 872 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 42c | 105.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 9,962 | 45.9%4,572 W · 5,390 L | -309.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked No | 71c | 105.01$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 275 | 78.5%216 W · 59 L | +51.6wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +29%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…a84bbacked Yes | 42c | 104.06$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.43 | 260 | 38.5%100 W · 160 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed Yes | 39c | 102.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb8…a530backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3,064 | 33.5%1,027 W · 2,037 L | +13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371b…8786backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…c773backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 58c | 99.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 5,255 | 49.8%2,618 W · 2,637 L | -163.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 24c | 98.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 2,223 | 56.1%1,247 W · 976 L | +54.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…e382backed Yes | 42c | 95.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…e1e0backed Yes | 41c | 95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 55c | 94.16$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 679 | 44.6%303 W · 376 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…a709backed No | 58c | 92.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c6…4347backed No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec7…12f7backed No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…0d6bbacked No | 62c | 91.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 166 | 68.1%113 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8a…627cbacked Yes | 37c | 90$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 40c | 89.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 1,119 | 23.7%265 W · 854 L | +74.2wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 37c | 86.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 547 | 38.6%211 W · 336 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 37c | 81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 855 | 35.7%305 W · 550 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…26babacked Yes | 41c | 79.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 62c | 79.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 2,226 | 59.1%1,316 W · 910 L | +110.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 64c | 78.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 2,295 | 59.3%1,360 W · 935 L | +118.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…1bb0backed No | 56c | 78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 47c | 76.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 2,340 | 58.7%1,373 W · 967 L | -4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…372abacked Yes | 41c | 75.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,177 | 34.9%411 W · 766 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d60…d955backed No | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 132 | 24.2%32 W · 100 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 57c | 69.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 3,810 | 65.8%2,508 W · 1,302 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0018…83a4backed Yes | 44c | 68.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…ac54backed Yes | 43c | 64.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 290 | 51.4%149 W · 141 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 52c | 63.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 631 | 22.5%142 W · 489 L | -29.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…40cdbacked Yes | 43c | 63.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 60c | 62.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 4,442 | 53.7%2,387 W · 2,055 L | -17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…4a1ebacked No | 18c | 62.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…400dbacked Yes | 30c | 60.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 456 | 30%137 W · 319 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1d…56a3backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 39c | 59.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…4b1abacked Yes | 42c | 58.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 582 | 47.8%278 W · 304 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 55c | 57.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 2,216 | 56.8%1,258 W · 958 L | +65.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 59c | 56.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2,274 | 56.7%1,289 W · 985 L | +65.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5d…d8b5backed Yes | 42c | 52.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 115 | 27.8%32 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…2e46backed No | 54c | 52.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 41c | 51.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 6,166 | 49.3%3,038 W · 3,128 L | -117.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…b087backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 187 | 22.5%42 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,032 | 31.3%949 W · 2,083 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…0bb7backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 88 | 22.7%20 W · 68 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x744f…caffbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cc…95bebacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed No | 66c | 48.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 279 | 44.4%124 W · 155 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4441…680abacked Yes | 32c | 47.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 59c | 47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 2,250 | 57%1,282 W · 968 L | +65.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x550e…94dbbacked Yes | 43c | 46.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…01fabacked No | 35c | 45.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 53c | 45.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 207 | 36.7%76 W · 131 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 54c | 44.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 455 | 66.2%301 W · 154 L | +20.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…4e62backed No | 53c | 44.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 62c | 43.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 2,254 | 56.9%1,283 W · 971 L | +69.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…c039backed Yes | 46c | 43.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 199 | 46.2%92 W · 107 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 60c | 43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1,196 | 50.8%608 W · 588 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 27c | 42.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 2,362 | 20.6%486 W · 1,876 L | -63.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on August 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.