Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x074415914a3cf7bb77b0a03e274b326e35cce0f910aba34bb66b56a9d30335e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbbc…9044backed Yes | 56c | 1,562$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.83 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 11c | 707.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 70c | 415.33$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.17 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 44c | 338$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.95 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 64c | 240.59$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.61 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 78c | 224.43$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x726e…aafbbacked Yes | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 232 | 69%160 W · 72 L | +23.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…c304backed Yes | 44c | 200$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 160 | 38.8%62 W · 98 L | +18.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 38c | 164.74$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 38c | 163.07$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.21 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 54c | 162.28$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.24 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf695…0045backed Yes | 60c | 160.22$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 54c | 159.53$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 69c | 153.85$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 16c | 138$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 45c | 121.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 19c | 121.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 22c | 120.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.39 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 27c | 119.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 113.77$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.95 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 58c | 103.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 74c | 103$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 16c | 100.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 35c | 100.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e3…c67fbacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 16c | 91.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 54c | 84.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…c51dbacked Yes | 62c | 82.09$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…1652backed Yes | 24c | 79.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 47c | 78.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 79c | 75.08$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 47c | 74.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 58c | 73.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…ec8ebacked No | 55c | 70.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…2d49backed No | 22c | 69.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd69f…e526backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc317…a731backed Yes | 29c | 64.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 76c | 64.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 42c | 63.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 45c | 62.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 46c | 61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab5e…47f6backed No | 52c | 60.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…f990backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 72c | 54.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 399 | 68.9%275 W · 124 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed No | 29c | 54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e80…1df6backed Yes | 53c | 53.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 70c | 53.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 25c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 53c | 52.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…3144backed No | 54c | 51.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 219 | 50.7%111 W · 108 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…7be5backed No | 41c | 50.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7faa…c757backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 353 | 62.9%222 W · 131 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…aa30backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89cc…9e01backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc743…4cb7backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 47c | 49.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked Yes | 76c | 48.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 60c | 46.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed Yes | 51c | 46.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb368…202bbacked Yes | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 34c | 43.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…866abacked No | 54c | 42.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…76f0backed No | 54c | 40.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1a…8572backed Yes | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 70c | 39.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…6ff8backed Yes | 73c | 38.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 193 | 45.6%88 W · 105 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…2c6bbacked Yes | 39c | 38.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 188 | 14.4%27 W · 161 L | -14.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 58c | 34.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9db6…f26dbacked Yes | 30c | 33.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +238%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32a8…be9bbacked Yes | 68c | 29.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 75c | 25.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…15c8backed No | 46c | 23.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…099abacked No | 58c | 23.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…3ca8backed No | 58c | 21.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 52c | 20.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…eb2bbacked No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb073…54fbbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…b2a8backed No | 68c | 18.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 65c | 16.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 67c | 15.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1348…7037backed Yes | 78c | 14.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 176 | 65.9%116 W · 60 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 83°F or below on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.