Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B: Gibraltar vs Serbia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x076cf4c6d18b81079d28150cbf0357abff17d5651881c497bbec9994d28e1b7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gibraltarof Gibraltar, Serbia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Gibraltar | 73c | 4,622$3,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.65 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Serbia | 31c | 4,044$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.19 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Serbia | 28c | 3,879$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.72 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Gibraltar | 76c | 1,634$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.88 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Gibraltar | 72c | 1,458$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.79 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gibraltar | 76c | 1,241$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.36 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…0265backed Serbia | 9c | 951.7$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Serbia | 24c | 617.23$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Gibraltar | 67c | 593.15$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.56 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Gibraltar | 65c | 431$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.13 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Serbia | 20c | 312.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Serbia | 23c | 237.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Serbia | 38c | 226$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…5d8ebacked Gibraltar | 64c | 218.08$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.41 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Gibraltar | 64c | 216.05$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Gibraltar | 76c | 140.06$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Serbia | 28c | 136.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Gibraltar | 74c | 136.05$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Serbia | 29c | 130$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Serbia | 46c | 126$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Serbia | 45c | 118$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Gibraltar | 75c | 104.56$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Serbia | 14c | 104.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gibraltar | 54c | 99.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Gibraltar | 69c | 89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…b726backed Gibraltar | 58c | 83.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Serbia | 39c | 83.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Gibraltar | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…620ebacked Gibraltar | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Serbia | 25c | 58.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Gibraltar | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Gibraltar | 58c | 48.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Serbia | 33c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Serbia | 43c | 46.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Gibraltar | 74c | 44.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Serbia | 25c | 44.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…3c60backed Gibraltar | 61c | 42.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f23…441fbacked Serbia | 31c | 37.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Serbia | 37c | 30.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Gibraltar | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Gibraltar | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Gibraltar | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Serbia | 39c | 27.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Serbia | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…d4febacked Gibraltar | 70c | 26.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +275.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Gibraltar | 66c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Serbia | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Gibraltar | 62c | 24.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.