Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x084238263baa0da6df3a37e08fc18e986e59fd8a47fa4bde273ec0e9580c9537
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed No | 29c | 654.43$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.83 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 60c | 554.3$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.47 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb7…d9b8backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.31 | 72 | 23.6%17 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 18c | 478.18$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 66c | 367.9$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.81 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 46c | 325.2$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…56bbbacked Yes | 73c | 308$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.67 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 61c | 285.38$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.83 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…69c9backed Yes | 74c | 257.15$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed Yes | 63c | 239.65$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.17 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 45c | 224.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.71 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 39c | 195.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.15 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 40c | 191.2$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 26c | 167.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 41c | 165.19$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…2efebacked Yes | 78c | 164.36$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -7.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1f…eb96backed No | 55c | 152.83$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.73 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…ae32backed Yes | 62c | 150.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 339 | 62.8%213 W · 126 L | +40.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed Yes | 75c | 148.6$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed Yes | 43c | 140$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 464 | 57.5%267 W · 197 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0751…073abacked Yes | 77c | 138.54$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 46c | 130.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 76c | 130$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…814dbacked No | 57c | 119.59$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed No | 19c | 104.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…474cbacked No | 58c | 102.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec34…b109backed No | 41c | 101$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 48c | 98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 54c | 96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21fb…842cbacked Yes | 46c | 94.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 66c | 93.74$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…0bcebacked Yes | 43c | 90.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 55c | 90.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 20c | 85.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 63c | 81.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55bc…52d8backed No | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 54c | 74.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 56c | 73.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 24c | 72.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed Yes | 43c | 72.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 278 | 52.9%147 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 34c | 71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 34c | 69.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc865…7477backed No | 57c | 67.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | -34.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 56c | 66.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 55c | 66.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 56c | 62.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…7107backed No | 25c | 61.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 46c | 57.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1,088 | 55.5%604 W · 484 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…ca40backed No | 60c | 54.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 77c | 52.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d98…b354backed Yes | 44c | 51.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 45c | 49.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 56c | 46.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 55c | 45.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 58c | 43.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 35c | 41.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked Yes | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 57c | 36.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 37c | 34.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes | 50c | 34.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa760…2c51backed No | 55c | 34.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 212 | 64.6%137 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 68c | 32.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 58c | 30.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 57c | 30.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 56c | 30.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff7…2fb1backed No | 55c | 28.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…decbbacked Yes | 69c | 28.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…ea0fbacked No | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 66c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed No | 55c | 27.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 341 | 51.3%175 W · 166 L | -26.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 75c | 26.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 57c | 26.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Yes | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 76c | 20.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2679…6a1abacked Yes | 79c | 14.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.