Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06f7e8c56152b1db96e8b2fa610efb32c667d565027f2ccde676406deb95e207
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 73c | 1,043$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.01 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 26c | 663.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.77 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 71c | 625.87$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.42 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…5d54backed Yes | 34c | 611.77$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.98 | 283 | 24.7%70 W · 213 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 34c | 593.01$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.1 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 66c | 590.82$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.32 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb7…d9b8backed Yes | 31c | 500$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.75 | 72 | 23.6%17 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 447.93$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.64 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 11c | 434.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…e902backed No | 77c | 424.32$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 37c | 419$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.45 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…0bcebacked Yes | 36c | 391.78$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.51 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed No | 60c | 253.43$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.8 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11f…908bbacked No | 80c | 250.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 38c | 231.57$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 36c | 225.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 36c | 225.14$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.96 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 60c | 207.66$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 16c | 206.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0751…073abacked Yes | 22c | 190.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed No | 65c | 190.52$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.76 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 68c | 178.5$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.82 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 63c | 173.63$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…4fbcbacked No | 55c | 168.13$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.39 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 70c | 163.2$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 10c | 160.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 38c | 159.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 32c | 154.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 19c | 154.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 66c | 152$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x331d…8846backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | +38.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d6b7backed No | 69c | 146.08$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 274 | 61.7%169 W · 105 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…a42dbacked Yes | 44c | 137.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 203 | 27.1%55 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…7307backed No | 62c | 133.41$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 69c | 127.56$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 61c | 121.75$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…ae32backed Yes | 24c | 115$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 339 | 62.8%213 W · 126 L | +40.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1f…eb96backed Yes | 39c | 110.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 64c | 110.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 62c | 108.87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 31c | 108.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 37c | 102.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 63c | 100.16$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 55c | 99.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 33c | 98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked Yes | 32c | 92.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 65c | 91.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 60c | 88.23$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9e…251fbacked No | 80c | 86.64$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +16.0wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x296e…0b9abacked Yes | 38c | 84.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…07bcbacked No | 59c | 83.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 99 | 76.8%76 W · 23 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…95f5backed Yes | 39c | 82.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed No | 67c | 80.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…8c7ebacked Yes | 31c | 79.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed Yes | 41c | 79.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 278 | 52.9%147 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 71c | 72.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd746…2c6fbacked No | 69c | 72.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 31c | 71.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 68c | 66.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed Yes | 46c | 65.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed No | 78c | 63.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4d…3375backed Yes | 21c | 61.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 45c | 60.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 352 | 64.8%228 W · 124 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7082backed Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…9907backed No | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…56bbbacked No | 59c | 59.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9980…a50cbacked No | 63c | 58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 62c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 26c | 54.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bee…50ccbacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 22c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce0c…f7edbacked No | 57c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe7…88e7backed No | 54c | 46.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 61c | 46.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…2313backed No | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 262 | 56.5%148 W · 114 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c16…d262backed No | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 36c | 41.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…4306backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7da…5b7bbacked No | 80c | 37.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 64c | 36.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 68c | 36.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 60c | 35.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 30c | 35.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 69c | 35.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 57c | 34.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 62c | 34.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…b95ebacked No | 68c | 34.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 419 | 66.6%279 W · 140 L | +36.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9149…f2dabacked No | 79c | 33.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…485fbacked No | 78c | 30.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 42c | 28.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 68c | 28.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 62c | 27.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x521f…80cdbacked No | 76c | 26.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Yes | 43c | 25.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 69c | 25.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 7?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.