South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-08-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0902f7c5513858f7f824f4e8ac62ff9bc69e107377e61c874992335f8424d985
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 36c | 13,742$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.88 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 9,452$6,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,253.61 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 73c | 4,710$3,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.02 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 4,500$2,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.5 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 69c | 3,191$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.04 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 63c | 1,995$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.45 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 38c | 1,548$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.58 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed No | 63c | 1,506$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.39 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 31c | 1,470$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.15 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 1,447$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.97 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Yes | 14c | 1,240$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.21 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 59c | 1,042$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.23 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 38c | 996.81$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.45 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 68c | 954$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.63 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 35c | 899.57$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.43 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 34c | 800$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 64c | 758.46$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 34c | 504$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.36 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 23c | 501.78$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.41 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 39c | 494.74$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.01 | 247 | 66%163 W · 84 L | +27.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 64c | 486$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.96 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 64c | 486$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.96 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Yes | 23c | 412.74$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed No | 68c | 406.9$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 29c | 350$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.08 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 17c | 349$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 68c | 340.66$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.01 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 63c | 297$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.89 | 312 | 40.1%125 W · 187 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 32c | 277.61$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 23c | 256.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 65c | 218.67$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.44 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 65c | 195.29$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.45 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 35c | 184$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 12c | 177.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 47c | 135.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 40c | 129.63$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 34c | 128.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 66c | 117.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 108.37$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x544f…3ca1backed Yes | 27c | 103.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +6.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 61c | 98.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 27c | 95.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 63c | 95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Yes | 34c | 78.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 54c | 77.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Yes | 66c | 75.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 33c | 70.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 65c | 68.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 69c | 66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 65c | 57.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 67c | 57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed No | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…81b5backed No | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 26c | 44.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 62c | 44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 62c | 41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 65c | 33.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 69c | 28.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 66c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 66c | 22.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 632 | 61.2%387 W · 245 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4709backed No | 67c | 22.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 68c | 20.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…973cbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 64c | 17.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked No | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Yes | 66c | 16.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Yes | 73c | 16.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-08-21?this page
- Will CA Aldosivi vs. CA Unión end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Unión win on 2026-08-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.