Tennis · resolved market
Rio Open, Qualification: Andrea Pellegrino vs Vilius Gaubas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09ca3e8fde728ea5e88924075e2e91dfc97ca89c74728f3cfceb41846becd1e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gaubasof Pellegrino, Gaubas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Gaubas | 71c | 6,080$4,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.32 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x241a…a9c8backed Pellegrino | 27c | 4,036$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Pellegrino | 52c | 2,107$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.9 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Pellegrino | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Gaubas | 48c | 1,978$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.56 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…e04fbacked Gaubas | 48c | 1,053$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Gaubas | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Pellegrino | 53c | 974$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.22 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Gaubas | 72c | 803.41$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.18 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Gaubas | 48c | 750$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Gaubas | 66c | 521.25$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.71 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Pellegrino | 30c | 426.55$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.23 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Pellegrino | 26c | 408.52$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Pellegrino | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Pellegrino | 50c | 376.2$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.95 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Gaubas | 65c | 353$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.21 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Pellegrino | 16c | 335.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Gaubas | 47c | 327$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.31 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Pellegrino | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Pellegrino | 42c | 239.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Gaubas | 58c | 238.27$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.07 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Pellegrino | 20c | 233.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Pellegrino | 27c | 223.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…61bdbacked Pellegrino | 56c | 189.55$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.75 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8612…6a0abacked Pellegrino | 23c | 188.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Pellegrino | 35c | 173.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Pellegrino | 39c | 138.48$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pellegrino | 32c | 107.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Gaubas | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Pellegrino | 51c | 102.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Gaubas | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Pellegrino | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pellegrino | 17c | 98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Gaubas | 46c | 87.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pellegrino | 28c | 78.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Gaubas | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Gaubas | 48c | 74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Gaubas | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Pellegrino | 29c | 64.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Gaubas | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 643 | 58.8%378 W · 265 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Gaubas | 54c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Gaubas | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x106d…ccefbacked Gaubas | 48c | 39.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Gaubas | 48c | 36.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1a…9359backed Gaubas | 46c | 34.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Gaubas | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Gaubas | 45c | 22.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Gaubas | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Gaubas | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Gaubas | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…11ffbacked Gaubas | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rio Open, Qualification: Andrea Pellegrino vs Vilius Gaubasthis page
- Set Handicap: Gaubas (-1.5) vs Pellegrino (+1.5)Gaubas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.