Premier League · resolved market
Stoke City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a40ada5db938c68c6d921f10d86bc8926a911a9e9f5a31f57db321f048c07c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86da…6428backed Over | 46c | 97,941$44,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,939.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 54c | 32,494$17,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,947.42 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 69c | 29,496$20,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,226.25 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 16,657$5,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,236.51 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 56c | 13,295$7,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,828.7 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…e800backed Under | 55c | 8,289$4,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,766.04 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed Under | 54c | 6,574$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 54c | 5,170$2,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.74 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 2,925$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.87 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 2,740$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.38 | 598 | 47.7%285 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 55c | 2,000$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 55c | 2,000$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 810 | 53.6%434 W · 376 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 55c | 2,000$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 33c | 1,982$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.29 | 724 | 42.7%309 W · 415 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 1,352$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.66 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 481 | 50.9%245 W · 236 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 36c | 1,005$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.83 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 54c | 918.26$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.4 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 859.87$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.23 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 55c | 843.5$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.57 | 604 | 45.4%274 W · 330 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 54c | 802.68$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c55…4a8cbacked Over | 47c | 764.74$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 36c | 662.95$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.54 | 504 | 50%252 W · 252 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 55c | 571.42$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.26 | 562 | 41.5%233 W · 329 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 55c | 511.36$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.11 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 40c | 408.92$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.64 | 593 | 32.9%195 W · 398 L | -30.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 54c | 354$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.84 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb10…5080backed Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Under | 54c | 270$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Under | 55c | 268.53$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 54c | 231$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 182 | 38.5%70 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Under | 53c | 230$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 52c | 205.06$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 204$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 191.09$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 773 | 42.8%331 W · 442 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 54c | 185.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Under | 54c | 185$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 54c | 174.65$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 54c | 171$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 46c | 115$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +9.6wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 31c | 105.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Under | 54c | 102.91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Under | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 42c | 88.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Under | 54c | 81.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 44c | 78.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a35…d6f9backed Over | 49c | 77.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 77.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc604…9da5backed Over | 56c | 73.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Under | 54c | 73.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 36c | 72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 42c | 52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Under | 54c | 36.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 45c | 34.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd79a…6d72backed Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 43c | 27.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…1e9fbacked Under | 54c | 27.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 25.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stoke City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-2.5)Stoke City FC won
- Stoke City FC vs. Hull City AFC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Stoke City FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stoke City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Stoke City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stoke City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stoke City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Stoke City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.