Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Hsieh/Wang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c29609016b31f2fa0761673809ca931ee5b4dbf5f67e04370a7eb84fa244485
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aoyama/Liangof Aoyama/Liang, Hsieh/Wang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e88…b235backed Hsieh/Wang | 48c | 5,017$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.86 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…b51abacked Aoyama/Liang | 52c | 3,078$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.73 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Hsieh/Wang | 25c | 3,014$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.26 | 152 | 25%38 W · 114 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Aoyama/Liang | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Hsieh/Wang | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Hsieh/Wang | 69c | 1,619$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.36 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Aoyama/Liang | 67c | 1,052$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.99 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Aoyama/Liang | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Aoyama/Liang | 48c | 975.5$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.96 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Hsieh/Wang | 41c | 793.65$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.4 | 517 | 44.7%231 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Aoyama/Liang | 33c | 788.9$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.46 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aoyama/Liang | 52c | 773.33$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.12 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Aoyama/Liang | 40c | 599.99$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.79 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Aoyama/Liang | 36c | 551.6$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.03 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Hsieh/Wang | 64c | 545.47$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.13 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hsieh/Wang | 50c | 429.24$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.21 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Hsieh/Wang | 60c | 397.07$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.83 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…8f52backed Aoyama/Liang | 46c | 309.25$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.04 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Hsieh/Wang | 67c | 296.02$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.88 | 101 | 61.4%62 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Aoyama/Liang | 57c | 288.61$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.82 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc875…ff98backed Aoyama/Liang | 36c | 277.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Hsieh/Wang | 15c | 256.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Aoyama/Liang | 31c | 230.24$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.46 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aoyama/Liang | 57c | 229.03$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.36 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Hsieh/Wang | 60c | 200.2$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.31 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aoyama/Liang | 66c | 189.77$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Hsieh/Wang | 59c | 169.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa107…dc63backed Hsieh/Wang | 69c | 144.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Aoyama/Liang | 37c | 106.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Aoyama/Liang | 54c | 105.85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Aoyama/Liang | 37c | 95.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Hsieh/Wang | 34c | 87.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Aoyama/Liang | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Hsieh/Wang | 63c | 79.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe520…e4e3backed Aoyama/Liang | 51c | 77.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Hsieh/Wang | 16c | 71.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Hsieh/Wang | 28c | 68.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Hsieh/Wang | 20c | 65.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c6…4b4bbacked Aoyama/Liang | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Aoyama/Liang | 68c | 62.45$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Aoyama/Liang | 58c | 61.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…fc05backed Hsieh/Wang | 71c | 56.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Aoyama/Liang | 46c | 54.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Aoyama/Liang | 57c | 52.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 207 | 49.8%103 W · 104 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Hsieh/Wang | 49c | 51.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Hsieh/Wang | 64c | 41.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…b131backed Hsieh/Wang | 54c | 38.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Aoyama/Liang | 33c | 36.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Aoyama/Liang | 37c | 36.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Aoyama/Liang | 39c | 35.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e5…cb53backed Aoyama/Liang | 69c | 35.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Hsieh/Wang | 68c | 34.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Hsieh/Wang | 63c | 31.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Aoyama/Liang | 42c | 28.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…7289backed Aoyama/Liang | 71c | 28.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Hsieh/Wang | 61c | 24.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed Hsieh/Wang | 66c | 21.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Aoyama/Liang | 59c | 19.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…fd32backed Aoyama/Liang | 53c | 19.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Aoyama/Liang | 67c | 16.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Aoyama/Liang | 69c | 15.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.