South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Aldosivi vs. CA Unión: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c46cd2d24ff1cb55ce5a6b1ba0e6d0c2cc7db6e4ba536691695357c1475426a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 10c | 7,072$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.24 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 6,218$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,431.35 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 5,328$2,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.08 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 1c | 3,398$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Under | 12c | 2,499$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.98 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 60c | 2,282$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.33 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Under | 17c | 2,046$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 54c | 1,721$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.69 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 46c | 1,461$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.03 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 44c | 1,419$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.56 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 42c | 1,360$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.83 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 67c | 556$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.23 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +10.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 36c | 529.08$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.61 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 64c | 501.08$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.69 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 37c | 476.29$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.01 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +11.1wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 42c | 473.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 51c | 389.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 65c | 326$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.9 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 68c | 309.04$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.89 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 10c | 189.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 52c | 144.67$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.84 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 43c | 112.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 59c | 84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4b…5b39backed Over | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 59c | 67.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 60c | 59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 65c | 43.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 59c | 43.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 46c | 39.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 57c | 38.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33ae…cf9ebacked Over | 76c | 31.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 60c | 29.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 64c | 28.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 60c | 20.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 59c | 19.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 66c | 18.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Aldosivi vs. CA Unión: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Aldosivi vs. CA Unión: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Aldosivi vs. CA Unión: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Aldosivi vs. CA Unión: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Aldosivi vs. CA Unión: CA Unión O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Aldosivi vs. CA Unión: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Aldosivi vs. CA Unión: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Aldosivi vs. CA Unión: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Aldosivi vs. CA Unión: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Aldosivi vs. CA Unión: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Aldosivi (-1.5)CA Unión won
- Spread: CA Aldosivi (-2.5)CA Unión won
- Spread: CA Unión (-1.5)CA Unión won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.