Tennis · resolved market
Samsun: Ergi Kirkin vs Paul Inchauspe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e17a5df718d058df428be2b6e3543078d09f8dd3d6130b1b2d93ffecb63c4a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paul Inchauspeof Ergi Kirkin, Paul Inchauspe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $382,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $475,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $382,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Ergi Kirkin | 2c | 248,796$4,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,975.92 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Paul Inchauspe | 75c | 6,061$4,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.25 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ergi Kirkin | 25c | 5,605$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.26 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Ergi Kirkin | 36c | 3,220$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x186c…1d32backed Ergi Kirkin | 7c | 3,100$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9d…5a06backed Ergi Kirkin | 18c | 2,777$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.52 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…cea7backed Ergi Kirkin | 27c | 2,483$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.32 | 327 | 35.5%116 W · 211 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Paul Inchauspe | 73c | 2,021$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.75 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Ergi Kirkin | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ergi Kirkin | 25c | 1,437$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.1 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Ergi Kirkin | 5c | 1,407$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Paul Inchauspe | 73c | 707.73$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.8 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Ergi Kirkin | 28c | 567.98$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.48 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Ergi Kirkin | 28c | 560.79$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.01 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…f4c3backed Ergi Kirkin | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Paul Inchauspe | 73c | 480.2$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.06 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Paul Inchauspe | 75c | 438.2$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.89 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Ergi Kirkin | 4c | 271.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Paul Inchauspe | 72c | 266.6$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.58 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Ergi Kirkin | 20c | 248.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Ergi Kirkin | 14c | 245.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…06a3backed Paul Inchauspe | 76c | 225$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 70cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…ab3abacked Ergi Kirkin | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Ergi Kirkin | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…5cd6backed Ergi Kirkin | 28c | 175$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 187 | 31%58 W · 129 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ergi Kirkin | 26c | 168.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Ergi Kirkin | 28c | 115.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Paul Inchauspe | 80c | 110.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Ergi Kirkin | 18c | 108.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…a656backed Paul Inchauspe | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…69f6backed Paul Inchauspe | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Ergi Kirkin | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 398 | 44.2%176 W · 222 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Paul Inchauspe | 76c | 99.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 336 | 50.9%171 W · 165 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee54…f617backed Paul Inchauspe | 76c | 97.05$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Ergi Kirkin | 18c | 85.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Ergi Kirkin | 27c | 85.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Ergi Kirkin | 27c | 74.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Ergi Kirkin | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Ergi Kirkin | 19c | 73.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Paul Inchauspe | 72c | 72.74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Ergi Kirkin | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 40.9%70 W · 101 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Paul Inchauspe | 74c | 70.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Paul Inchauspe | 79c | 62.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Ergi Kirkin | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Ergi Kirkin | 27c | 53.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 278 | 36.7%102 W · 176 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Ergi Kirkin | 24c | 51.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Paul Inchauspe | 73c | 47.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Ergi Kirkin | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…0685backed Paul Inchauspe | 67c | 34.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Paul Inchauspe | 79c | 33.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9b41backed Paul Inchauspe | 73c | 32.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Paul Inchauspe | 72c | 31.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd3…be13backed Paul Inchauspe | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…f972backed Paul Inchauspe | 73c | 27.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Paul Inchauspe | 73c | 24.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Paul Inchauspe | 73c | 24.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Paul Inchauspe | 79c | 22.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked Paul Inchauspe | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 266 | 40.6%108 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…4576backed Paul Inchauspe | 73c | 19.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Paul Inchauspe | 75c | 19.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Paul Inchauspe | 78c | 16.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 549 | 55.2%303 W · 246 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Paul Inchauspe | 74c | 13.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Samsun: Ergi Kirkin vs Paul Inchauspethis page
- Set 1 Winner: Kirkin vs InchauspeInchauspe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.