Fifa International · resolved market
Czechia to score first vs. Korea Republic?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ea5c0b33fc4f1cde61c702721e360846796a697f44ec64fae9f4da9b022ec14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Yes | 38c | 3,058$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.57 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…1f2ebacked No | 76c | 750$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 76c | 749.99$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 76c | 749.98$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 77c | 436.99$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.49 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 46c | 284.33$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.54 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 76c | 249.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 59c | 239.83$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.18 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 24c | 235$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.6 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 64c | 234.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.35 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 44c | 222.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.68 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 36c | 222.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 75c | 164$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.52 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 24c | 157.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.57 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 13c | 152.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…f6f6backed Yes | 24c | 137.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 50c | 112$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 26c | 111.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.64 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 24c | 109.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 129 | 64.3%83 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 56c | 92.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…c7f2backed No | 56c | 89.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 72.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 42c | 64.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 57c | 60.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 64c | 58.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 52c | 57.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf07f…9a2cbacked Yes | 24c | 46.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 55c | 45.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be4…5ed2backed Yes | 45c | 40.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 54c | 40.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 58c | 32.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 55c | 24.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 66c | 23.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cd…55f6backed No | 77c | 23.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Czechia to score first vs. Korea Republic?this page
- Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia?No won
- Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.