Tennis · resolved market
ITF Poprad: Matthias Ujvary vs Samir Hamza Reguig
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ee8a8907057155517c740181c4e8b4e5860f0f7e250f92052415f7e07aa2d6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matthias Ujvaryof Matthias Ujvary, Samir Hamza Reguig
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f3…8dd9backed Matthias Ujvary | 58c | 5,551$3,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.07 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Samir Hamza Reguig | 49c | 3,344$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.35 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Matthias Ujvary | 54c | 2,800$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 39c | 2,447$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.33 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 39c | 931.64$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.91 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Matthias Ujvary | 56c | 447.32$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.82 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 44c | 424.51$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.78 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Matthias Ujvary | 40c | 346$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.6 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Matthias Ujvary | 40c | 312$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Matthias Ujvary | 40c | 288.75$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.25 | 311 | 64.3%200 W · 111 L | +36.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Matthias Ujvary | 40c | 227.9$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.74 | 461 | 55.3%255 W · 206 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Matthias Ujvary | 40c | 226.83$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.1 | 430 | 54.9%236 W · 194 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…32b5backed Matthias Ujvary | 40c | 224.68$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.81 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…9decbacked Matthias Ujvary | 40c | 223.6$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Matthias Ujvary | 40c | 222.53$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.52 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Matthias Ujvary | 40c | 220.38$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.23 | 476 | 51.9%247 W · 229 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Matthias Ujvary | 40c | 217.15$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.29 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Matthias Ujvary | 40c | 216.08$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.65 | 496 | 58.1%288 W · 208 L | +32.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Matthias Ujvary | 40c | 213.93$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.36 | 445 | 52.8%235 W · 210 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Matthias Ujvary | 40c | 207.48$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.48 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Matthias Ujvary | 40c | 199.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.97 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed Matthias Ujvary | 40c | 194.58$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.75 | 329 | 52.3%172 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Samir Hamza Reguig | 50c | 193$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Samir Hamza Reguig | 39c | 180.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Matthias Ujvary | 40c | 161.7$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 374 | 60.4%226 W · 148 L | +29.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Matthias Ujvary | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Samir Hamza Reguig | 38c | 146$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ed01backed Matthias Ujvary | 40c | 109$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Matthias Ujvary | 40c | 109$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Matthias Ujvary | 40c | 106$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 303 | 53.5%162 W · 141 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Matthias Ujvary | 58c | 105.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…705fbacked Matthias Ujvary | 40c | 101$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Matthias Ujvary | 40c | 101$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Samir Hamza Reguig | 51c | 96.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 51c | 92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Samir Hamza Reguig | 44c | 70.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Samir Hamza Reguig | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Matthias Ujvary | 40c | 56.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 248 | 51.2%127 W · 121 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Matthias Ujvary | 50c | 50.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Matthias Ujvary | 48c | 47.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 50c | 46.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 48c | 40.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 50c | 24.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7127…c7a2backed Matthias Ujvary | 47c | 21.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 53c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.