Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Total Open: Xinyu Wang vs Elena Rybakina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fca2ff3a9a79168aa8161d5c918a49b8d3433724cbad629f261472aca6ec26e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rybakinaof Wang, Rybakina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $238,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Wang | 15c | 30,428$4,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,697.78 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Wang | 10c | 19,727$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.06 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Wang | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Wang | 11c | 8,370$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.4 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Wang | 16c | 7,177$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.48 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed Wang | 15c | 6,752$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.71 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Wang | 8c | 4,697$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.58 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Wang | 18c | 3,333$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Wang | 5c | 2,945$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wang | 12c | 2,818$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.54 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Wang | 4c | 2,719$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wang | 9c | 2,203$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.72 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Wang | 15c | 1,637$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.56 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Wang | 15c | 1,289$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a37…6c95backed Wang | 16c | 1,251$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Wang | 11c | 1,176$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.89 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Wang | 17c | 1,174$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Wang | 14c | 1,019$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.35 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…e04fbacked Wang | 16c | 969.69$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e9…e33ebacked Wang | 16c | 937.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +166%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Wang | 4c | 691.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Wang | 16c | 550.66$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Wang | 15c | 523.42$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…d25fbacked Wang | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…5745backed Wang | 17c | 491.05$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…0f26backed Wang | 5c | 450$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c28…ff31backed Wang | 15c | 420$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Wang | 7c | 388.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Wang | 14c | 359.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Wang | 16c | 337.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Wang | 14c | 323.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Wang | 18c | 275$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Wang | 5c | 273.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Wang | 14c | 265.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Wang | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Wang | 16c | 221.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Wang | 9c | 221.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bee…31fdbacked Wang | 15c | 210.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Wang | 15c | 207.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Wang | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…fb4cbacked Wang | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Wang | 16c | 177.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa206…0f9bbacked Wang | 16c | 175.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Wang | 6c | 171.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…bb01backed Wang | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wang | 10c | 147.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Wang | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed Wang | 10c | 131.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wang | 13c | 126$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…0b6ebacked Wang | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…3773backed Wang | 15c | 123.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Wang | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Wang | 15c | 109$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…7ad1backed Wang | 16c | 106.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Wang | 15c | 101.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Wang | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…7f10backed Wang | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Wang | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Wang | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wang | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb3…380ebacked Wang | 16c | 96.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…a368backed Wang | 16c | 95.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Wang | 16c | 91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…11ffbacked Wang | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar Total Open: Xinyu Wang vs Elena Rybakinathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Wang vs RybakinaRybakina won
- Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Wang (+1.5)Rybakina won
- Wang vs. Rybakina: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Wang vs. Rybakina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Wang vs. Rybakina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.