TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Giants vs. Athletics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Athleticsof Giants, Athletics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$302,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$296,779

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,784 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x343d…456ebacked Athletics51c147,594$75,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,537.233360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Giants49c50,323$24,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,658.5186751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants49c30,059$14,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,704.751,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Giants28c23,888$6,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,656.171,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Giants49c23,886$11,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,704.0141850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7225…293abacked Athletics60c20,137$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,137.034047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Giants50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00053150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Giants2c18,893$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.2742452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Athletics50c11,591$5,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,795.6260249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc605…d372backed Giants49c8,064$3,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,936.648641.9%36 W · 50 L-15.3wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Giants49c6,224$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,049.7945248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Giants4c5,955$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.652,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants49c5,180$2,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,538.342,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Giants50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50069249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Giants30c4,402$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.589,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Giants1c4,268$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.624754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Giants42c4,149$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,736.471,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Giants50c4,039$2,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,018.5817354.9%95 W · 78 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Athletics50c3,600$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,793.143654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Giants16c3,189$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50028646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Giants50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011040.9%45 W · 65 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Giants1c1,964$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.218762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Giants2c1,942$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.155053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Athletics51c1,798$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.5550852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Giants48c1,779$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.9297950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Giants9c1,691$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.596133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Giants49c1,650$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.514446.5%67 W · 77 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Giants49c1,429$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.2173352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Athletics59c1,352$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.1932852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Athletics67c1,283$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.1855653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Giants50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60018748.1%90 W · 97 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c3…0230backed Giants42c1,186$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.782828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.9wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-41.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Giants46c1,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Athletics51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Giants10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Athletics51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49021941.1%90 W · 129 L-19.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Giants34c999.78$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.6112339%48 W · 75 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff24…76c1backed Giants50c925$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.59332.3%30 W · 63 L-16.8wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-36.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Giants49c755.64$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.265,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Giants50c720.26$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.132,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe870…6bf8backed Athletics51c700$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Giants15c603.13$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0827213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Giants18c540.84$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.212640.5%51 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Giants3c500$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1425416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58a4…57d4backed Giants41c489.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004341.9%18 W · 25 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeec7…08c6backed Athletics56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.143053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed Giants50c340$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17015543.2%67 W · 88 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Athletics59c323.66$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.71,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Athletics51c300.36$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.524248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Giants50c300$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1491,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics49c299.97$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.982,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Athletics59c261.66$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.681,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Giants50c253$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.52,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Giants43c246.08$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10531356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants25c241.49$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.734,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Athletics64c238.71$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8680680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked Athletics66c220$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.81936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Athletics66c208.74$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.86,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Giants49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6703…24a6backed Giants50c201.86$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.843534.3%12 W · 23 L-5.9wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-29.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Giants50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047348.8%231 W · 242 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Athletics50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Giants50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Athletics49c199.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants50c198.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db6…08d3backed Athletics51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x25ac…3a56backed Athletics51c192.15$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked Giants50c165.24$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6216552.1%86 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x13fa…b59fbacked Athletics51c158.82$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e784backed Athletics51c137.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9327…9ea2backed Athletics51c128.9$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.163357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba19…3777backed Athletics51c125.5$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x758c…6730backed Athletics50c122.76$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.383063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6984…fbacbacked Giants49c120.4$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de2…de5fbacked Giants50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Giants50c119.41$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030242.4%128 W · 174 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Giants49c118.37$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5838743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x090f…f5aabacked Giants51c113.24$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.752948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae7f…59a7backed Giants50c108.32$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.163548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c6b…7132backed Giants49c108.16$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a8…afd3backed Giants49c106.12$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Giants49c102$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.981,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Giants49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.72433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Athletics51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4918243.4%79 W · 103 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x670d…fbe9backed Giants51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Giants49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4951955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcbb5…f6fcbacked Athletics51c98.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.143231.3%10 W · 22 L-6.6wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-41.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc615…9f26backed Giants36c97.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357025.7%18 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf71c…feb6backed Giants49c95.91$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Athletics52c95.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3252542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e4…928dbacked Giants49c91.83$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f24…beaabacked Giants49c91.83$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2107…d72fbacked Giants51c90.8$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.313366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Giants18c90$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.21,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Athletics51c82.35$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3528453.9%153 W · 131 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e7d…7158backed Giants50c81.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.763740.5%15 W · 22 L-5.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Athletics50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4049348.3%238 W · 255 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad9e…ca58backed Athletics50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…a18bbacked Giants50c79.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.582133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-39.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.