Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Mexico Lobos vs. Fresno State Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1565faea08cd66491afd359cd93258354b03d892d0472cb5bd6a86ba794ef629
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Mexico Lobosof New Mexico Lobos, Fresno State Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x161a…4103backed New Mexico Lobos | 39c | 5,568$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,392.16 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 50c | 4,752$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,362.38 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New Mexico Lobos | 36c | 2,876$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.44 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 45c | 2,673$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.16 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 41c | 2,110$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.38 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New Mexico Lobos | 77c | 1,990$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.78 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 47c | 1,799$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.35 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 73c | 1,351$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.41 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 23c | 1,305$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 61c | 1,187$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.89 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 52c | 1,044$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.53 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 33c | 1,036$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.24 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 55c | 1,008$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.88 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed New Mexico Lobos | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed New Mexico Lobos | 78c | 654.71$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.04 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…811ebacked New Mexico Lobos | 44c | 622.64$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.65 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked New Mexico Lobos | 44c | 618.39$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.16 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 71c | 617.8$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.79 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…b97cbacked New Mexico Lobos | 42c | 600.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.22 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked New Mexico Lobos | 47c | 529$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.6 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.83 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 52c | 483.16$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.23 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed New Mexico Lobos | 25c | 462$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.5 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 47c | 456.5$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.74 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed New Mexico Lobos | 46c | 437$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.56 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New Mexico Lobos | 63c | 376.18$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.05 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed New Mexico Lobos | 73c | 322.36$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.34 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 40c | 315.11$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.23 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2c…f983backed New Mexico Lobos | 71c | 287.17$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked New Mexico Lobos | 37c | 271.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.08 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 41c | 246.61$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 56c | 245.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.88 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked New Mexico Lobos | 40c | 235.16$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.2 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 61c | 225.49$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.44 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 21c | 199.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 42c | 158.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…9b64backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 68c | 147.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed New Mexico Lobos | 72c | 138.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed New Mexico Lobos | 73c | 136.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked New Mexico Lobos | 38c | 131.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.21 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 40c | 130.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 56c | 127$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed New Mexico Lobos | 43c | 123.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.64 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 42c | 121.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 37c | 102.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed New Mexico Lobos | 35c | 94.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc494…543cbacked New Mexico Lobos | 54c | 92.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 60c | 86.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 70c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed New Mexico Lobos | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 65c | 76.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked New Mexico Lobos | 45c | 73.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1877…78d7backed New Mexico Lobos | 55c | 61.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 19c | 54.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…cb3abacked New Mexico Lobos | 58c | 53.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…b6ecbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…4d1ebacked New Mexico Lobos | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…b807backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…ad0cbacked New Mexico Lobos | 38c | 30.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked New Mexico Lobos | 48c | 21.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…e696backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 59c | 19.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed New Mexico Lobos | 79c | 13.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Mexico Lobos vs. Fresno State Bulldogsthis page
- New Mexico Lobos vs. Fresno State Bulldogs: O/U 155.5Over won
- New Mexico Lobos vs. Fresno State Bulldogs: O/U 156.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.