TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Kitzbuehel: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Kathinka von Deichmann

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Maria Lourdes Carleof Maria Lourdes Carle, Kathinka von Deichmann
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,115
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,745

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,115 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Maria Lourdes Carle59c21,506$12,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,728.078,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kathinka von Deichmann29c20,610$5,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,937.3593740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Maria Lourdes Carle54c4,768$2,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,213.936,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Maria Lourdes Carle78c4,673$3,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.524,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kathinka von Deichmann50c3,367$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.0311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kathinka von Deichmann23c2,485$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.528,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Kathinka von Deichmann13c2,250$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.523,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Maria Lourdes Carle74c2,017$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.853,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Maria Lourdes Carle77c1,306$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.034,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ea7…41d3backed Kathinka von Deichmann39c1,231$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4804847.9%23 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Maria Lourdes Carle71c1,074$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.625,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Kathinka von Deichmann24c737.13$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.0731436.9%116 W · 198 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Maria Lourdes Carle72c675.26$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.0734655.2%191 W · 155 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Kathinka von Deichmann27c647.42$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.192145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Kathinka von Deichmann26c583.64$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.371,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Kathinka von Deichmann18c490.55$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.512,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Kathinka von Deichmann47c482.1$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.541,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Kathinka von Deichmann28c447.29$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3430542.6%130 W · 175 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kathinka von Deichmann16c441.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.088,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Kathinka von Deichmann58c332.32$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.9992352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Maria Lourdes Carle55c323.98$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.6182958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Maria Lourdes Carle73c282.28$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.313,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Kathinka von Deichmann29c258.62$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7537238.2%142 W · 230 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25f7…b16dbacked Kathinka von Deichmann50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028154.8%154 W · 127 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Kathinka von Deichmann36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Kathinka von Deichmann46c194.16$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3115946.5%74 W · 85 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Kathinka von Deichmann27c181.48$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Kathinka von Deichmann28c161.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.242,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Kathinka von Deichmann29c149.96$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.493,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Kathinka von Deichmann28c137.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6348245.6%220 W · 262 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Kathinka von Deichmann23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3065434.9%228 W · 426 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Kathinka von Deichmann18c129.22$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.771,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Kathinka von Deichmann35c124.94$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.731,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Kathinka von Deichmann35c121$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.061,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Kathinka von Deichmann55c118.18$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6542930.5%131 W · 298 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x889d…d981backed Kathinka von Deichmann43c107.65$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.273360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5940…94c8backed Maria Lourdes Carle69c103.39$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.467930.4%24 W · 55 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe713…c9a0backed Kathinka von Deichmann32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.511567%77 W · 38 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Maria Lourdes Carle71c98.03$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.433,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Maria Lourdes Carle37c90.81$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2179052.9%418 W · 372 L+24.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf49…b4a5backed Maria Lourdes Carle58c87.28$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2854955.2%303 W · 246 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Maria Lourdes Carle67c83.63$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.624,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Kathinka von Deichmann38c81.4$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.931,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Kathinka von Deichmann29c77.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.55453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8920…9c0cbacked Maria Lourdes Carle50c74$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7629347.4%139 W · 154 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bfd…f4c4backed Maria Lourdes Carle76c74$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.763658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Maria Lourdes Carle75c71.79$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.76,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Maria Lourdes Carle72c67.26$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.834,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Kathinka von Deichmann29c66.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.331,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eef…5275backed Maria Lourdes Carle77c64.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9436378.2%284 W · 79 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick77cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Kathinka von Deichmann27c53.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.631,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kathinka von Deichmann41c52.23$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.66,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Kathinka von Deichmann24c52.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Maria Lourdes Carle80c50.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1023581.7%192 W · 43 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick80cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Kathinka von Deichmann28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Kathinka von Deichmann28c48.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.681,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe36b…26f4backed Maria Lourdes Carle73c47.68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57e7…84e9backed Maria Lourdes Carle79c44.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3122638.9%88 W · 138 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd751…2ab3backed Maria Lourdes Carle73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Kathinka von Deichmann25c40.64$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.292,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Maria Lourdes Carle69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.32,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b89…9183backed Maria Lourdes Carle72c38.47$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7720566.8%137 W · 68 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Maria Lourdes Carle66c36.75$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5933062.7%207 W · 123 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Kathinka von Deichmann42c36.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.496,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Maria Lourdes Carle64c36$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.851,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Maria Lourdes Carle73c33.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.962,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Maria Lourdes Carle68c32.24$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.241,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Kathinka von Deichmann43c30.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.244229.6%131 W · 311 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…db95backed Maria Lourdes Carle60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1232952.3%172 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4432…1a32backed Kathinka von Deichmann43c28.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4815079.3%119 W · 31 L+17.1wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+10.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1298…97b6backed Maria Lourdes Carle71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.178446.4%39 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99d4…7c0dbacked Maria Lourdes Carle60c23.54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.335461.3%217 W · 137 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Maria Lourdes Carle71c21.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658750.4%296 W · 291 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Maria Lourdes Carle73c20.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5476355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Kathinka von Deichmann59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x03bf…24b9backed Maria Lourdes Carle77c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2313276.5%101 W · 31 L+13.9wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+16.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Maria Lourdes Carle69c17.61$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.461,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Maria Lourdes Carle79c15.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3145564.6%294 W · 161 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Maria Lourdes Carle67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.954,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.