Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Seoul vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17fd608aae8c3410d88eb7d2561772386a9bf5a670f767980e5431f2e7e810ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 28c | 3,982$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.91 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 2,734$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.33 | 387 | 49.6%192 W · 195 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…ccf9backed Yes | 31c | 2,267$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.38 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 1,929$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.05 | 395 | 49.9%197 W · 198 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 70c | 856.66$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.27 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 55c | 770.8$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.53 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 38c | 587.76$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.16 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 34c | 492.47$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.68 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 22c | 386.6$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 66c | 361$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.24 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Yes | 46c | 329.85$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 32c | 325$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 75c | 257.44$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 73c | 228$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 27c | 203.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 68c | 155$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 33c | 145.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 20c | 135$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 73c | 119.97$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 28c | 107.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 27c | 98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 26c | 97.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 21c | 96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 73c | 95.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…bdb5backed Yes | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 24c | 75.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 66c | 72.29$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 67.77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 57.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -46%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 25c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 32c | 45.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…5619backed Yes | 42c | 43.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 33c | 40.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5c…2ba2backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked No | 71c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9d…1e4bbacked Yes | 30c | 36.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 69c | 36.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 68c | 33.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 217 | 54.4%118 W · 99 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked No | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…4ee1backed No | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 71c | 18.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 66c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 261 | 48.7%127 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd515…2c54backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked No | 71c | 14.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Seoul vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-08-15?No won
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.