NFL · resolved market
Colts vs. Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18eaf2284aac18152bef60a8d60bc67baa806e9f13676b395f7922bd70b4589d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coltsof Colts, Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Colts | 53c | 12,395$6,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,825.72 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bears | 47c | 7,929$3,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,726.48 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Bears | 47c | 6,455$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.87 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Colts | 57c | 6,150$3,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.05 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Colts | 54c | 4,071$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.62 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Bears | 46c | 3,605$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.12 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Bears | 47c | 3,269$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.21 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bears | 30c | 2,821$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.21 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…3bbcbacked Colts | 52c | 2,616$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 58cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Bears | 48c | 2,461$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.35 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…36d4backed Colts | 53c | 2,128$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.02 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Colts | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Colts | 54c | 1,775$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.5 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Bears | 30c | 1,575$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.77 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Bears | 12c | 1,435$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.66 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Colts | 53c | 1,077$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.82 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Bears | 39c | 1,043$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.75 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Bears | 46c | 1,015$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.75 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Colts | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed Colts | 75c | 936$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0895…8273backed Colts | 65c | 834.83$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Bears | 32c | 700$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Colts | 70c | 634.39$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.03 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Colts | 68c | 550$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Bears | 46c | 444$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.24 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Bears | 49c | 434.22$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.77 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…c3f1backed Bears | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Colts | 51c | 389.98$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.09 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…455fbacked Colts | 55c | 374.51$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.53 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f7…d25abacked Bears | 47c | 310.77$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.1 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Colts | 61c | 305.28$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.59 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Bears | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Colts | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…2549backed Bears | 38c | 211.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.23 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…28a0backed Bears | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Colts | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Bears | 47c | 198.19$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed47…faf5backed Colts | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…a49ebacked Colts | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Bears | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Bears | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Colts | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Colts | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7653…42e7backed Bears | 27c | 111$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…fe54backed Bears | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7077…e94dbacked Colts | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…8561backed Bears | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed Colts | 52c | 101$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…57e5backed Colts | 80c | 100.04$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Bears | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f1…5bccbacked Colts | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ed…4d6abacked Bears | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Bears | 45c | 99.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed Colts | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1563…c575backed Bears | 47c | 88.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8410…46bbbacked Colts | 54c | 88.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…f0f2backed Bears | 29c | 86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Bears | 30c | 83.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbc…2565backed Bears | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…577abacked Bears | 47c | 68.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6971…96ddbacked Colts | 55c | 67.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9b…40b8backed Bears | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x326a…8fabbacked Bears | 48c | 65.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7173…7d75backed Colts | 54c | 62.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Colts | 52c | 59.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b4…951dbacked Bears | 37c | 57.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72a4…4e32backed Colts | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Colts | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 205 | 57.6%118 W · 87 L | +16.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c40…0fd9backed Colts | 54c | 53.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4b…e399backed Bears | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5947…8177backed Bears | 46c | 52.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…83dbbacked Bears | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Bears | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1b…0a44backed Bears | 49c | 47.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…c62cbacked Colts | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe5…f089backed Bears | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…7708backed Bears | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Colts | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed86…c6a4backed Colts | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…e827backed Bears | 47c | 37.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cab…6817backed Colts | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…63d5backed Colts | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed Colts | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…2e62backed Bears | 48c | 30.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…c9cbbacked Bears | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b70…20a3backed Colts | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49de…4dc5backed Colts | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…b2aabacked Bears | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Colts | 76c | 17.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.