TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Alexis Galarneau vs Oliver Tarvet

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oliver Tarvetof Alexis Galarneau, Oliver Tarvet
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,866
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,488

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,866 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Oliver Tarvet66c5,746$3,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.6611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Alexis Galarneau10c5,100$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5264,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Alexis Galarneau19c2,644$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.658,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Alexis Galarneau34c2,088$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71031436.9%116 W · 198 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Oliver Tarvet75c2,045$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.166,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Oliver Tarvet61c1,519$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.734,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Oliver Tarvet60c1,072$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.643,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Alexis Galarneau40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40054138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Alexis Galarneau14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013743.1%59 W · 78 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Alexis Galarneau5c623.4$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Alexis Galarneau21c609$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12722152%115 W · 106 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Alexis Galarneau34c547.5$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.151,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Alexis Galarneau39c536.7$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.313,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Alexis Galarneau38c473.78$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.045,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Alexis Galarneau40c419.5$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.87,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked Oliver Tarvet68c387.01$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.844032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Oliver Tarvet61c377.05$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0567239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Oliver Tarvet67c373.13$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.1311064.5%71 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa99f…164bbacked Alexis Galarneau14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027528.4%78 W · 197 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Oliver Tarvet78c351.54$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.152,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd050…c915backed Alexis Galarneau37c337.84$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520846.2%96 W · 112 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Alexis Galarneau15c308.65$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.327836.7%102 W · 176 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Alexis Galarneau26c300$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.651,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x5807…f939backed Alexis Galarneau38c275.57$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.73757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ba81backed Alexis Galarneau12c260.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3047431.9%151 W · 323 L-21.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79d0…4dffbacked Alexis Galarneau13c246.15$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3231220.5%64 W · 248 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed Oliver Tarvet60c241.8$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7223454.7%128 W · 106 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1226…f998backed Alexis Galarneau15c210.53$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6829940.1%120 W · 179 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Alexis Galarneau22c200.44$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.319824.5%24 W · 74 L-16.0wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-58.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xbe75…74c8backed Oliver Tarvet62c180.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.99977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+51.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Alexis Galarneau39c178.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.811,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Alexis Galarneau26c178$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2747857.9%277 W · 201 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Oliver Tarvet78c163.5$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.238,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Alexis Galarneau37c160.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Alexis Galarneau36c160.47$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.771,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…f29bbacked Oliver Tarvet66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5112562.4%78 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Alexis Galarneau18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2727753.4%148 W · 129 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Oliver Tarvet63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.543952.4%230 W · 209 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Oliver Tarvet77c137.57$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.281,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Alexis Galarneau33c137.28$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5580341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a49…d276backed Oliver Tarvet68c134.78$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.134440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Oliver Tarvet60c127.93$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.73,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Oliver Tarvet75c125.02$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.551,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Alexis Galarneau23c125$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2934650.6%175 W · 171 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Alexis Galarneau23c125$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920850%104 W · 104 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Alexis Galarneau39c120$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.81,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Alexis Galarneau30c120$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.81,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Alexis Galarneau28c113$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.111,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Alexis Galarneau27c109.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9543250.5%218 W · 214 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a0…a986backed Oliver Tarvet63c108$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9610965.1%71 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Alexis Galarneau40c104.12$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.252,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed Oliver Tarvet60c101$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.425349%124 W · 129 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Alexis Galarneau29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.111,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Alexis Galarneau40c99.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4031039.4%122 W · 188 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Alexis Galarneau17c98.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.743,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Alexis Galarneau40c97.56$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.021,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Oliver Tarvet72c88.25$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1266834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bf4…f4c3backed Alexis Galarneau36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306538.5%25 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Alexis Galarneau32c80.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.192,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Alexis Galarneau26c80$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.86,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Oliver Tarvet78c79.02$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.362,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Alexis Galarneau21c76.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.141,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4846…32e0backed Oliver Tarvet67c75.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.858251.2%42 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Oliver Tarvet67c72.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.52,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf86f…6e5abacked Alexis Galarneau19c71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.194546.7%21 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Alexis Galarneau24c66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.134,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Alexis Galarneau31c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.41,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcd5b…3b06backed Oliver Tarvet67c54$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.828654.7%47 W · 39 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Oliver Tarvet80c50.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.152,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Oliver Tarvet61c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7567848.4%328 W · 350 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Oliver Tarvet60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2057449.1%282 W · 292 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff5a…af9fbacked Alexis Galarneau40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204934.7%17 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Alexis Galarneau40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Oliver Tarvet72c49$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7292674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa25a…04b7backed Alexis Galarneau41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03be…cd20backed Alexis Galarneau39c46.77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.243641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Oliver Tarvet78c38.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4578957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a84…b4b0backed Alexis Galarneau41c31.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.85850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Oliver Tarvet80c29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8737156.3%209 W · 162 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Oliver Tarvet80c18.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.778743.7%38 W · 49 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.