Asian League · resolved market
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c1f38efa2694923ff4ad657bbdeb85cb2953453a14e5a8166bf94d13b75fab2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 47c | 19,937$9,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,369.07 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Yes | 48c | 2,186$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.04 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 52c | 2,007$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb30d…5cf1backed Yes | 78c | 1,922$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 53c | 1,750$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.5 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 53c | 1,654$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.59 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 9c | 1,401$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.23 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 1,211$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.79 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 33c | 1,205$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.12 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 53c | 650$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.5 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 53c | 650$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.5 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 11c | 631.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.44 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 53c | 450$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 53c | 292$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.24 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 55c | 240$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 220$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 49c | 134$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 55c | 120.17$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 116.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.96 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 56c | 102.59$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 18c | 88.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 50c | 84.13$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 47c | 75.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 21c | 61.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 51c | 56.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516e…00afbacked No | 52c | 52.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 51c | 46.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Yes | 76c | 38.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 49c | 37.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 47c | 31.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Yes | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 56c | 28.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 53c | 24.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 46c | 22.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 54c | 19.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 75c | 14.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.